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Post by The Aztec Panther on Aug 30, 2024 12:35:23 GMT -8
Anyone who thinks that Trump is a better candidate for President, anyone who thinks that Trump isn't unhinged - they're either stupid or delusional.
Kamala is a former prosecutor. She was tough on crime - so tough that a lot of Democrats complained. As Attorney General in California she didn't serve to an ideology, she ran down the middle, enforcing the law. Again, Democrats thought she was too harsh. She's got a strong sense of ethics. Trump has none. Trump only cares about Trump, and he lies more than any Presidential candidate in American history. Every speech or press conference that gets fact checked shows 50 or more lies. Each time.
As Adam Kinzinger said, you may have policy differences with Kamala, but with Trump the character issues are so massive that the well being of our country is at stake. Putting party over country in this election just makes you a really bad person. Kinzinger is a die hard Republican, and he's voting for Kamala. Mitt Romney is voting for Kamala, and hundreds of former Bush and Trump staffers have come out publicly in support of Kamala.
Trump is a disaster. Fortunately, he's going to lose.
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Post by The Aztec Panther on Aug 30, 2024 12:53:17 GMT -8
This alone warrants voting for Harris. There are several other reasonsm, but this is a great one.
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Post by The Aztec Panther on Aug 30, 2024 13:18:37 GMT -8
This is a shockingly good interview. Especially considering the host is Al Sharpton (and I have never liked Sharpton). But Jesse 'The Body' Ventura is great at throwing out truth bombs, and he does so here. It's literally impossible to argue against the points he makes unless you want to look like a fool.
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Post by sdsuball on Aug 30, 2024 17:47:08 GMT -8
There is no other Fox group, you're literally talking about a completely different poll from two weeks ago. And holy false equivalence on 2016. It would help if you actually knew what you were talking about. Who was leading in most polls the day before the election? Hillary was. Trump won. One or the other could be leading in the polls the day before this election as well, and lose. It's that close. That's my point. Yeah I think it's a really close race as well.
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Post by uwphoto on Aug 30, 2024 18:19:34 GMT -8
This alone warrants voting for Harris. There are several other reasonsm, but this is a great one. This despicable human should be in jail...and more importantly ridiculed in the town square. A lot of people are going to have orange stain on them after he bites the dust in November...I think convincingly. I just can't wait for his enablers come up with excuses for why they supported the unsupportable. For example, the careers of RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard will be done. They all feared the maga base because trump (the master manipulator) created a monster. The trash heap of history is were trump is going..and a lot of people are going to be embarrassed they hook, line and sinkered this shyster, flim flam man, grifter and carnival barker.
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 4, 2024 10:16:05 GMT -8
Want to guess who this benefits?
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 4, 2024 12:07:12 GMT -8
There should be no controversy anymore.
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Post by azson on Sept 4, 2024 13:24:07 GMT -8
There should be no controversy anymore. "Video content, including news stories in the Fox News style..."The irony of course is the loudest "Left = Commies" voice here also sources Fox more than any other poster.
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 4, 2024 13:34:53 GMT -8
Gets worse...
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Post by sdsuball on Sept 5, 2024 13:02:39 GMT -8
Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to Call the Race. www.nytimes.com/video/opinion/100000009671449/allan-lichtman-presidential-polls-prediction.htmlLichtman's 13 Keys to the Race, and his prediction for who wins each key: Harris: Primary Contest (none, party united behind Harris) Third Party (RFK dropped out, no other candidate with enough pull) Short-Term Economy Long Term Economy Policy Change Social Unrest (not enough sustained protest around Gaza, for now according to him) White House Scandal (none, Hunter Biden doesn't count) Challenger Charisma (argues Trump is not broad appeal charismatic enough) Trump: Midterm House Gains Incumbency (Biden isn't running) Incumbent Charisma (isn't running, and Harris doesn't have charisma) Undecided: Foreign Policy Success Foreign Policy Failure
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Post by sdsuball on Sept 5, 2024 13:20:46 GMT -8
Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to Call the Race. www.nytimes.com/video/opinion/100000009671449/allan-lichtman-presidential-polls-prediction.htmlLichtman's 13 Keys to the Race, and his prediction for who wins each key: Harris: Primary Contest (none, party united behind Harris) Third Party (RFK dropped out, no other candidate with enough pull) Short-Term Economy Long Term Economy Policy Change Social Unrest (not enough sustained protest around Gaza, for now according to him) White House Scandal (none, Hunter Biden doesn't count) Challenger Charisma (argues Trump is not broad appeal charismatic enough) Trump: Midterm House Gains Incumbency (Biden isn't running) Incumbent Charisma (isn't running, and Harris doesn't have charisma) Undecided: Foreign Policy Success Foreign Policy Failure My Take - Close Race, but Harris probably wins by this metric.Harris: - Primary Contest (none, party united behind Harris) - Third Party (RFK dropped out, no other candidate with enough pull - You could argue RFK pulls candidates away from Harris with his Trump endorsement, but the polling doesn't suggest that, and Trump is so polarizing that his polarization factor will play a bigger role then an RFK endorsement for people who like RFK but don't like Trump - just my take. - Long Term Economy (good job growth) - Policy Change (I think that Biden's policies have been the strong point of his presidency, vaccine issues aside) - Social Unrest (could flip, but for where things are at right now its accurate) - White House Scandal (none, Hunter Biden doesn't count) Trump: - Midterm House Gains - Incumbency (Biden isn't running) - Incumbent Charisma (Biden isn't running, and Harris doesn't have charisma) - Short-Term Economy (for Trump, lots of inflation over the last couple of years. Most voters care more about purchasing power then stock market growth numbers (because most voters don't own a lot of stock and aren't wealthy). - Foreign Policy Failure (Gaza has been an unmitigated disaster - and that a pretty bipartisan view.) Undecided: Foreign Policy Success - toss up, lean Harris for Ukraine, but that war hasn't gone good or bad. Challenger Charisma - Trump is more charismatic, but you could also argue this is a toss up because of how polarizing Trump is. I think that if RFK stayed in and had advocated more strongly against Israel, that very easily could have flipped the election to Trump. If young people had a third party candidate like RFK, who draws decent polling numbers, more young people would have jumped onto his bandwagon from Biden/Harris.
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 11, 2024 12:32:27 GMT -8
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Post by azson on Sept 11, 2024 12:47:29 GMT -8
Wait, I thought debates don't move the needle?
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 11, 2024 12:53:02 GMT -8
Wait, I thought debates don't move the needle? Did we really learn anything new last night?
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Post by The Aztec Panther on Sept 11, 2024 14:02:54 GMT -8
Wait, I thought debates don't move the needle? Did we really learn anything new last night? No, but a lot of the undecideds have been in denial about Trump. They don't want to believe he's as bad as he is. After last night it became a lot harder to stay in denial.
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 11, 2024 14:05:35 GMT -8
Did we really learn anything new last night? No, but a lot of the undecideds have been in denial about Trump. They don't want to believe he's as bad as he is. After last night it became a lot harder to stay in denial. The amount of truly undecided people in mid-September is extraordinarily low in comparison to the total numbers of votes cast. It won't swing the election. Debates have very little effect on election results.
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Post by uwphoto on Sept 11, 2024 14:16:58 GMT -8
No, but a lot of the undecideds have been in denial about Trump. They don't want to believe he's as bad as he is. After last night it became a lot harder to stay in denial. The amount of truly undecided people in mid-September is extraordinarily low in comparison to the total numbers of votes cast. It won't swing the election. Debates have very little effect on election results. I disagree with this assessment.
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Post by azson on Sept 11, 2024 14:21:29 GMT -8
No, but a lot of the undecideds have been in denial about Trump. They don't want to believe he's as bad as he is. After last night it became a lot harder to stay in denial. The amount of truly undecided people in mid-September is extraordinarily low in comparison to the total numbers of votes cast. It won't swing the election. Debates have very little effect on election results. If you believe that, why post the Luntz vid?
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 11, 2024 14:34:02 GMT -8
The amount of truly undecided people in mid-September is extraordinarily low in comparison to the total numbers of votes cast. It won't swing the election. Debates have very little effect on election results. I disagree with this assessment. Well, fortunately, history has shown their effects to be minimal. Even after the debate on June, there was hardly a ripple in the post-debate polling metrics. The people that watch the debate tend to generally be engaged people who are already decided, not people who can't make up their minds.
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 11, 2024 14:35:45 GMT -8
The amount of truly undecided people in mid-September is extraordinarily low in comparison to the total numbers of votes cast. It won't swing the election. Debates have very little effect on election results. If you believe that, why post the Luntz vid? Because Frank Luntz is a long-time GOP pollster and him going on the record with his analysis is interesting. It's not meant to be a referendum on anything.
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