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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 17:14:14 GMT -8
well..I'm hoping so. In my day, referring to a woman as a "bum" and "garbage" was disqualifying as a human. More to do with the fundamentals and the math of the race than anything else. Williamson stepping aside means no contest at the convention, which means more money pumped into the campaign and more unification behind Harris. |
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Post by johneaztec on Jul 29, 2024 17:17:01 GMT -8
There's barely three months left. Ok, but I was thinking I'd wait until more interviews of the two, and or a debate, although I doubt there will be a debate. I think it's very, very close at this point in time. |
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Post by johneaztec on Jul 29, 2024 17:17:48 GMT -8
well..I'm hoping so. In my day, referring to a woman as a "bum" and "garbage" was disqualifying as a human. I hear ya. Times sure have changed. |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 17:37:04 GMT -8
There's barely three months left. Ok, but I was thinking I'd wait until more interviews of the two, and or a debate, although I doubt there will be a debate. I think it's very, very close at this point in time. I don't know how to say this...but the debates don't matter. They have zero impact historically on presidential races. I don't know what interviews are going to tell you, either. Obviously, anything can happen. I still have major reservations about red states not certifying ballots. |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 17:51:40 GMT -8
There's barely three months left. Ok, but I was thinking I'd wait until more interviews of the two, and or a debate, although I doubt there will be a debate. I think it's very, very close at this point in time. Harris has taken the lead even in R-leaning polls in Pennsylvania. That's the state that's going to decide the election, in my opinion. Record fundraising, momentum, enthusiasm and involvement in her campaign. I think Trump has already peaked in terms of his margins. |
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Post by johneaztec on Jul 29, 2024 18:06:47 GMT -8
Ok, but I was thinking I'd wait until more interviews of the two, and or a debate, although I doubt there will be a debate. I think it's very, very close at this point in time. I don't know how to say this...but the debates don't matter. They have zero impact historically on presidential races. I don't know what interviews are going to tell you, either. Obviously, anything can happen. I still have major reservations about red states not certifying ballots. The Biden debate with Trump sure was historical. I understand what you're saying, but I'm choosing to wait until the candidates talk more about each other's baggage and get a better a feel after this initial Kamala surge is over. |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 18:09:05 GMT -8
I don't know how to say this...but the debates don't matter. They have zero impact historically on presidential races. I don't know what interviews are going to tell you, either. Obviously, anything can happen. I still have major reservations about red states not certifying ballots. The Biden debate with Trump sure was historical. I understand what you're saying, but I'm choosing to wait until the candidates talk more about each other's baggage and get a better a feel after this initial Kamala surge is over. But it had no impact on voters, so it really wasn't. |
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Post by johneaztec on Jul 29, 2024 18:14:28 GMT -8
The Biden debate with Trump sure was historical. I understand what you're saying, but I'm choosing to wait until the candidates talk more about each other's baggage and get a better a feel after this initial Kamala surge is over. But it had no impact on voters, so it really wasn't. I'm still not sure of that. I've learned to not look at polls or odds until the day of the election, and that could still change hours before. I'm choosing to wait to make a prediction, but if I HAD to make one today, I would say that Trump would win in a very close race. |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 18:17:16 GMT -8
But it had no impact on voters, so it really wasn't. I'm still not sure of that. I've learned to not look at polls or odds until the day of the election, and that could still change hours before. I'm choosing to wait to make a prediction, but if I HAD to make one today, I would say that Trump would win in a very close race. I think you're being jaded here based on a random one off that really wasn't that much of a foregone conclusion. A close race is to be expected in terms of the swing states, just based off maps and gerrymandering alone. Trump's fundamentals look terrible right now. And I mean...terrible. |
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Post by uwphoto on Jul 29, 2024 18:18:12 GMT -8
But it had no impact on voters, so it really wasn't. I'm still not sure of that. I've learned to not look at polls or odds until the day of the election, and that could still change hours before. I'm choosing to wait to make a prediction, but if I HAD to make one today, I would say that Trump would win in a very close race. but he'll say he won in a close loss, or cry "rigged"..and lots of people will die. ..ad he won't give a f x x x . |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 18:20:42 GMT -8
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Post by johneaztec on Jul 29, 2024 18:23:23 GMT -8
I'm still not sure of that. I've learned to not look at polls or odds until the day of the election, and that could still change hours before. I'm choosing to wait to make a prediction, but if I HAD to make one today, I would say that Trump would win in a very close race. but he'll say he won in a close loss, or cry "rigged"..and lots of people will die. ..ad he won't give a f x x x . He'll definitely not accept a loss. That's for sure. Nobody will care. He won't run anymore if he loses this election, I would think. |
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Post by johneaztec on Jul 29, 2024 18:26:32 GMT -8
I'm still not sure of that. I've learned to not look at polls or odds until the day of the election, and that could still change hours before. I'm choosing to wait to make a prediction, but if I HAD to make one today, I would say that Trump would win in a very close race. I think you're being jaded here based on a random one off that really wasn't that much of a foregone conclusion. A close race is to be expected in terms of the swing states, just based off maps and gerrymandering alone. Trump's fundamentals look terrible right now. And I mean...terrible. Yes, but I'm choosing to wait longer to make a prediction. Strange things can happen, and they sure have happened this year. |
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Post by uwphoto on Jul 29, 2024 18:27:46 GMT -8
Ryan, isn't this the same guy who said it would be a disaster if they replaced Biden? Is he just trying to stay relevant? |
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Post by bnastyaztecs on Jul 29, 2024 18:29:34 GMT -8
I don't know how to say this...but the debates don't matter. They have zero impact historically on presidential races. I don't know what interviews are going to tell you, either. Obviously, anything can happen. I still have major reservations about red states not certifying ballots. The Biden debate with Trump sure was historical. I understand what you're saying, but I'm choosing to wait until the candidates talk more about each other's baggage and get a better a feel after this initial Kamala surge is over. What more baggage would Harris have than Trump?...she's been thoroughly vetted...all they got is warmed-over Wille Brown crap about two grown adults in a committed relationship... that she is soft on the border...even though she as vice-president who doesn't make policy...she promotes the administration's...oh yeah...the one to divide the Black community...she put Black men in jail...she was a prosecutor...that's what they do...now compare that to a sliver of controversy Trump has done by 5am...every day...all day...if you're hesitating because of qualifications to do the job...Harris smokes Trump again...he's a failed first-term president by any measure...he had us all searching for toilet paper and ground beef with his ineptitude and insolence...Trump is the sour milk you pull out of the fridge...do you think if you put it back in and wait four years that it'll be fresh again?...it's time to move on to America's future. |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 18:29:34 GMT -8
Ryan, isn't this the same guy who said it would be a disaster if they replaced Biden? Is he just trying to stay relevant? Models don't have feelings. Well, data models, anyway. |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 18:33:15 GMT -8
I think you're being jaded here based on a random one off that really wasn't that much of a foregone conclusion. A close race is to be expected in terms of the swing states, just based off maps and gerrymandering alone. Trump's fundamentals look terrible right now. And I mean...terrible. Yes, but I'm choosing to wait longer to make a prediction. Strange things can happen, and they sure have happened this year. Whatever floats your boat. I've seen what I need to at this point. I'm not sure what Trump does from here on out. |
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Post by bnastyaztecs on Jul 29, 2024 18:36:34 GMT -8
The Biden debate with Trump sure was historical. I understand what you're saying, but I'm choosing to wait until the candidates talk more about each other's baggage and get a better a feel after this initial Kamala surge is over. But it had no impact on voters, so it really wasn't. Dude get real...the debate definitely had an impact...to say it didn't is not remotely based in reality...who do you think got on the phones and demanded change?...it didn't happen in a vacuum...representatives across the nation got calls from voters demanding change...or they wouldn't have done it...that debate was so awful...and the chance Biden would do it again down the stretch...had every Dem in the nation...besides a select few...calling for Harris to take over..... |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 29, 2024 18:37:46 GMT -8
But it had no impact on voters, so it really wasn't. Dude get real...the debate definitely had an impact...to say it didn't is not remotely based in reality...who do you think got on the phones and demanded change?...it didn't happen in a vacuum...representatives across the nation got calls from voters demanding change...or they wouldn't have done it...that debate was so awful...and the chance Biden would do it again down the stretch...had every Dem in the nation...besides a select few...calling for Harris to take over..... ..Okay...but...maybe...not. |
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Post by aztecryan on Jul 30, 2024 9:43:57 GMT -8
"I've neveer heard of it."
Major story.
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