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Post by aztecjeff on Aug 18, 2023 18:36:53 GMT -8
ABC/7 just upgraded Hilary from a Tropical Storm to a Level "1" Hurricane when it passes through San Diego County and into the LA Basin. I imagine that will fluctuate somewhat until they know for sure where it will make landfall: www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOTkPB2Hgyg
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Post by smoothcat on Aug 18, 2023 20:39:38 GMT -8
Exactly, I'd be more worried if I was in Ocotillo or Death Valley than coastal SD.I live in Leucadia and can literally see the beach/ocean (Ponto) from my bed. I definitely am not hoping for destruction in any way, shape, or form, but I am hoping for a good show (big gnarly wind driven waves crashing into the jetty would be cool). This thing will definitely weaken in the cooler water, and by the time it makes landfall will likely be a tropical storm, which can still pack quite a wallop. Everybody stay safe! I am in La Costa and will likely check it out from Ponto.
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Post by The Aztec Panther on Aug 19, 2023 0:12:09 GMT -8
Looking at the storm's projected path, dead center of the eye of the storm is projected to go about 2 miles to the West of where I live.
I'm really hoping that it fizzles a bit by the time it gets here.
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Post by aztecjeff on Aug 19, 2023 1:47:30 GMT -8
How will YOU be treating this "once-in-a-lifetime" Tropical Storm Warning? Will you treat it nonchalantly like some people in the area... or will you take it seriously? How many of you are game for actual "before & after" reactions to Hilary on this thread? I don't live in Hilary's direct path (Northern Utah), but my elderly parents do (High Desert, Victorville)… and like most of you I'm curious what will happen to everyone throughout Aztec Nation lying within Hilary's path. I'm curious to see what actually happens in "your own back yard"... from all of you living throughout Baja California, San Diego, North County, Riverside County, San Bernardino County, Orange County & everywhere else throughout the L.A. Basin, including all of you those living in the low & high California Deserts & Mountains... and beyond. Come on Aztec Nation, are you ready to chime in and share your experiences? For those who choose to take pictures or video, please do so FROM A SAFE DISTANCE ONLY! Don't be foolish & take chances out there! Watch out for others (including animals, youngsters & the elderly) who accompany you. And finally, don't be stupid. It's not worth risking personal safety just to take pictures or video from your cell phones! TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS NECESSARY! Keep in mind, there could be extreme wind, rain, flooding, landslides, lightning and tornados from this storm... SO BE CAREFUL!! Thanks in advance to anyone willing to participate! This thread has the potential of becoming historic once Hilary has passed through & all is said and done. Once again, please don't be "nonchalant" about the dangers Hilary could pose... like some people "may" be doing: www.youtube.com/watch?v=qUcdM7V4p7Y
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Post by aztecjeff on Aug 19, 2023 4:09:50 GMT -8
It will interesting to see how heavy flooding effects the Salton Sea, and dry lake beds near Baker, Death Valley & the California/Nevada Border... plus Lake Meade & possibly Lake Powell & the Great Salt Lake.
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Post by longtimebooster on Aug 19, 2023 4:15:22 GMT -8
It's starting. Woke up to an awesome display of sheet lightening over downtown San Diego. No cloud-to-ground lightening strikes. No thunder. Just pulsing flashes of light in the clouds. Not a common sight in S. Calif.
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Post by pbnative on Aug 19, 2023 6:15:36 GMT -8
It will interesting to see how heavy flooding effects the Salton Sea, and dry lake beds near Baker, Death Valley & the California/Nevada Border... plus Lake Meade & possibly Lake Powell & the Great Salt Lake. Have friends in LA Quinta/Palm Desert, the only concern they have is the amount of water that will fill the flash flood washes. Usually a heavy rain causes a few roads have to be shutdown for a few days. They did put a few sand bags on thier patio incase the pool overflows. Some people in thier area have run out to stores to stock up on emergency Supplies since they are under the impression of 80 mph winds and 10"+ of rain as they get hit with a hurricane.
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Post by pbnative on Aug 19, 2023 6:19:08 GMT -8
It's starting. Woke up to an awesome display of sheet lightening over downtown San Diego. No cloud-to-ground lightening strikes. No thunder. Just pulsing flashes of light in the clouds. Not a common sight in S. Calif. Out friends aid the east side of Coachella valley had a decent thunderstorm last night about 7:30. Didn't reach them in the Palm Desert area. Built up in the hills to the north east. Decent rain for about 30 min, and some impressive lightning flashes with a few bolt in the sky. He said it was a nice morning to play 18 since the temp was in the low 70's and are getting an off and on lightish rain this morning.
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Post by LostAztec on Aug 19, 2023 10:11:16 GMT -8
People in the South Bay had better pray the eye of the storm stays to the east. If it moves west, there will be massive storm surge flooding down in the Sloughs.
I just moved my Mom from LJ down to IB last April. My sis says they are ready to evacuate when the word comes.
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Post by survalli on Aug 19, 2023 15:39:03 GMT -8
ABC/7 just upgraded Hilary from a Tropical Storm to a Level "1" Hurricane when it passes through San Diego County and into the LA Basin. I imagine that will fluctuate somewhat until they know for sure where it will make landfall: www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOTkPB2Hgyg weakening quickly, dont think it will be a hurricane when it reaches us now. eye wall looks like it is dissipating.
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Post by hoobs on Aug 19, 2023 15:42:03 GMT -8
Far too much attn here (& elsewhere) is being paid to hurricane vs tropical storm. That's a measurement of windforce around the center of the storm. A slow-moving, "wet" tropical storm is FAR more dangerous in terms of water dropped, flooding, etc. than a hurricane that moves fairly quickly.
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Post by survalli on Aug 19, 2023 16:02:15 GMT -8
Far too much attn here (& elsewhere) is being paid to hurricane vs tropical storm. That's a measurement of windforce around the center of the storm. A slow-moving, "wet" tropical storm is FAR more dangerous in terms of water dropped, flooding, etc. than a hurricane that moves fairly quickly. agreed, but i dont think anyone is selling short the potential for disaster. our roads, our infrastructure was not built for voluminous amounts of rain during a short period of time. we will have issues, so its good to see the City (and others) taking necessary precautions in advance.
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Post by aztech on Aug 19, 2023 16:12:22 GMT -8
It will interesting to see how heavy flooding effects the Salton Sea, and dry lake beds near Baker, Death Valley & the California/Nevada Border... plus Lake Meade & possibly Lake Powell & the Great Salt Lake. Yeah, I was thinking about that. I don't recall any streams feeding the Salton Sea so their residents will welcome the deluge.
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Post by pbnative on Aug 19, 2023 16:45:22 GMT -8
It will interesting to see how heavy flooding effects the Salton Sea, and dry lake beds near Baker, Death Valley & the California/Nevada Border... plus Lake Meade & possibly Lake Powell & the Great Salt Lake. Yeah, I was thinking about that. I don't recall any streams feeding the Salton Sea so their residents will welcome the deluge. Water come mostly from runoff from the surrounding farms, and any water from the desert flood control washes. There is plenty of capacity in the saltonsea to handel several inches in the mountains and desert. It's basically the toilet bowl of the Coachella valley. lol
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Post by DeeMoney on Aug 19, 2023 16:45:35 GMT -8
It will interesting to see how heavy flooding effects the Salton Sea, and dry lake beds near Baker, Death Valley & the California/Nevada Border... plus Lake Meade & possibly Lake Powell & the Great Salt Lake. Have friends in LA Quinta/Palm Desert, the only concern they have is the amount of water that will fill the flash flood washes. Usually a heavy rain causes a few roads have to be shutdown for a few days. They did put a few sand bags on thier patio incase the pool overflows. Some people in thier area have run out to stores to stock up on emergency Supplies since they are under the impression of 80 mph winds and 10"+ of rain as they get hit with a hurricane. I grew up out there and my folks are still there. Luckily they've built bridges over most of the washes now, so driving in heavy rains should be better.
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Post by Den60 on Aug 19, 2023 17:31:29 GMT -8
Yeah, I was thinking about that. I don't recall any streams feeding the Salton Sea so their residents will welcome the deluge. Water come mostly from runoff from the surrounding farms, and any water from the desert flood control washes. There is plenty of capacity in the saltonsea to handel several inches in the mountains and desert. It's basically the toilet bowl of the Coachella valley. lol I go to La Quinta for golf twice per year. They have quite a bit invested dealing with storms from the "monsoon season." Most of this rain will likely fall east of our mountains. This storm is strong enough to push west over the mountains so we get rain here on the west side. We can use the rain.
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Post by pbnative on Aug 19, 2023 17:41:39 GMT -8
It will interesting to see how heavy flooding effects the Salton Sea, and dry lake beds near Baker, Death Valley & the California/Nevada Border... plus Lake Meade & possibly Lake Powell & the Great Salt Lake. New update from our friends in La Quinta. Out of abundance of caution they rushed to the store for an emergency supply of cocktail mixers! Forcast called for. 25" and thunderstorms, but seems they haven't received a drop of rain yet, everything has been pushed east along the CA/AZ border. Just very overcast and an occasional light swirling breeze. New Forcast is very light rain or short thunder shower this evening, and storm might start to bring the prolonged rain after midnight.
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Post by pbnative on Aug 19, 2023 17:46:30 GMT -8
Water come mostly from runoff from the surrounding farms, and any water from the desert flood control washes. There is plenty of capacity in the saltonsea to handel several inches in the mountains and desert. It's basically the toilet bowl of the Coachella valley. lol I go to La Quinta for golf twice per year. They have quite a bit invested dealing with storms from the "monsoon season." Most of this rain will likely fall east of our mountains. This storm is strong enough to push west over the mountains so we get rain here on the west side. We can use the rain. Yes, my wife and I went to visit in February a few years ago right at valentines day. It rained pretty hard most of the day and then some. It was pretty crazy, over 3.5" of rain. Every wash in the valley was filled, the main outflow in the east valley was a massive deep raging river, probably flowing 70 Mph as it headed to the Salton Sea. Still has no problems getting around and only the 3 or 4 road that dipped into the wash rather than over a bridge were closed. The 2010 flooding in MV was WAY WAY worse and more destructive.
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Post by zurac315 on Aug 19, 2023 19:01:38 GMT -8
Far too much attn here (& elsewhere) is being paid to hurricane vs tropical storm. That's a measurement of windforce around the center of the storm. A slow-moving, "wet" tropical storm is FAR more dangerous in terms of water dropped, flooding, etc. than a hurricane that moves fairly quickly. I was driving through/around Houston in 1998 during Tropical Storm Francis. There was some wind but the rain was amazing. The entire city of Houston was basically flooded and all the highways in and out of the city were shut down. I was headed east at about the same pace as the storm. I picked up the storm in San Antonio and didn't get out of it until I was iin Mississippi.
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Post by AztecPhil on Aug 19, 2023 19:24:56 GMT -8
It will interesting to see how heavy flooding effects the Salton Sea, and dry lake beds near Baker, Death Valley & the California/Nevada Border... plus Lake Meade & possibly Lake Powell & the Great Salt Lake. New update from our friends in La Quinta. Out of abundance of caution they rushed to the store for an emergency supply of cocktail mixers! Forcast called for. 25" and thunderstorms, but seems they haven't received a drop of rain yet, everything has been pushed east along the CA/AZ border. Just very overcast and an occasional light swirling breaze. New Forcast is very light rain or short thunder shower this evening, and storm might start to bring the prolonged rain after midnight. A friend was living just North of Santa Cruz at the time of the Loma Prieta Earthquake. He said the saving grace was the alcohol was spared from any damage, and the neighborhood sat around toasting the aftershocks and enjoying the nice weather they had that weekend.
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