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Post by steveaztec on Jul 12, 2010 8:59:03 GMT -8
Never say never.
No, I'm not saying this will happen, but I am saying it is possible.
Reasons?---
1. Schedule. It is weak....weak....weak.
2. If the OLine can improve to average on the run game. (I know, this is a big question)
3. If the defense comes together early and is a little better than we think (especially at the corners and at DB).
We have a top notch QB, with very talented receivers. We have a group of running back that aren't bad. We have a very good offensive coaching staff and head coach.
We have a vet DLine, and a semi deep, semi vet linebackers. We have a good D Coordinator that can cause concern with his D when he has the right players. The db's and corners are young but fast and talented.
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Post by k5james on Jul 12, 2010 9:05:58 GMT -8
Never say never. No, I'm not saying this will happen, but I am saying it is possible. Reasons?--- 1. Schedule. It is weak....weak....weak. 2. If the OLine can improve to average on the run game. (I know, this is a big question) 3. If the defense comes together early and is a little better than we think (especially at the corners and at DB). We have a top notch QB, with very talented receivers. We have a group of running back that aren't bad. We have a very good offensive coaching staff and head coach. We have a vet DLine, and a semi deep, semi vet linebackers. We have a good D Coordinator that can cause concern with his D when he has the right players. The db's and corners are young but fast and talented. The schedule has been weak, weak, weak for the last decade. I say it's not likely but it could happen. It all hinges on the Oline and defensive backfield. |
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Post by Pssst13 on Jul 12, 2010 9:09:13 GMT -8
I'll buy a couple of 40oz if we win 8 games...
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Post by Deleted on Jul 12, 2010 9:12:16 GMT -8
5 or 6
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Post by steveaztec on Jul 12, 2010 9:22:27 GMT -8
I'll buy a couple of 40oz if we win 8 games... I think we all will.  |
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Post by AztecBill on Jul 12, 2010 9:33:42 GMT -8
I'll buy a couple of 40oz if we win 8 games... I think we all will. 8 wins requires: 3-1 OOC Beat AFA at home. Beat Wyo on the road. Beat UNM on the road. Beat UNLV and CSU at home. I think we can do any of those. But 8 wins requires us doing ALL of those. If we don't do all of those we need to beat Missouri, TCU, Utah, or BYU. The two of those who would be easiest are both on the road. 8 wins would be a great year - it is a tall order. But progress is not always steady. Sometimes there are big jumps. This year could see one of those jumps for the Aztecs. The pieces are in place. We need some luck and confidence. |
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Post by k5james on Jul 12, 2010 9:36:20 GMT -8
I think we all will. 8 wins requires: 3-1 OOC Beat AFA at home. Beat Wyo on the road. Beat UNM on the road. Beat UNLV and CSU at home. I think we can do any of those. But 8 wins requires us doing ALL of those. If we don't do all of those we need to beat Missouri, TCU, Utah, or BYU. The two of those who would be easiest are both on the road. 8 wins would be a great year - it is a tall order. I actually think @byu is just as winnable AFA. New QB, no Pitta or Unga. |
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Post by steveaztec on Jul 12, 2010 9:40:38 GMT -8
I think we all will. 8 wins requires: 3-1 OOC Beat AFA at home. Beat Wyo on the road. Beat UNM on the road. Beat UNLV and CSU at home. I think we can do any of those. But 8 wins requires us doing ALL of those. If we don't do all of those we need to beat Missouri, TCU, Utah, or BYU. The two of those who would be easiest are both on the road. 8 wins would be a great year - it is a tall order. But progress is not always steady. Sometimes there are big jumps. This year could see one of those jumps for the Aztecs. The pieces are in place. We need some luck and confidence. Agree Bill. My thoughts are that last year in Bradys first season and the 3 Chuck Long years I never thought we even had a shot to 7 or 8. I don't think it ever crossed my mind before the start of last season. While it would be tough to do this year, it really isn't totally out of reach. |
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Post by fowl on Jul 12, 2010 9:49:26 GMT -8
Eight wins are certainly feasible as talent-wise we should be better or on par with Nicholls st, NM St, Utah St., AF, NM, Wyo, CSU, and UNLV. There are eight potential wins whereby I don't think anyone who knows MWC football would be surprised to see. Furthermore, we get all but NM st, NM, and Wyoming at home.
The other potential factor in getting to eight wins is somewhat favorable scheduling. We get Air Force and BYU the week before they play at TCU, Wyoming after a brutal three game stretch of TCU, Utah, and BYU, Utah (@ home) in a @ Notre Dame and vs BYU sandwich, and TCU after a tough game @ Utah.
That being said, I still think we get just five wins as I think that NM, CSU, UNLV, and NM st will all be improved and having to play at altitude at Wyoming sucks - especially after having to go to NM the week prior. Plus I still think that our depth is lacking and when injuries happen we will be exposed. Not to mention that the ball won't always bounce in our favor in those games.
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Post by AztecTom on Jul 12, 2010 9:50:12 GMT -8
I am going with 6-7 wins this year. If we got lucky with no major injuries and everything fell our way, then I think we could get 8 wins.
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Post by Old School on Jul 12, 2010 10:02:21 GMT -8
An extra season of conditioning and system break-in can do wonders.
Oldie Out
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Post by Deleted on Jul 12, 2010 10:07:40 GMT -8
To say it's feasible to anticipate a win at Wyoming is just silly. Yes, our talent is comparable but excluding two years when the Cowboys had their worst coach ever in Vic Koenning, the Aztecs have lost nine in a row in Laramie, last winning there in a non-Koenning year in 1984.
To say there is any reasonable chance of winning eight games this year is equally silly since we haven't won more than six games in a season since creation of the MWC and that six-win season included two DIAA opponents.
Five wins likely, six if Lindley stays healthy and we don't choke away any wins (think Wyoming and UNLV in 2009), seven if Lindley stays healthy, we don't choke away any wins and we get some breaks. (If Lindley would go down for the season early on, expect another four-win year.)
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Post by greysuit on Jul 12, 2010 10:09:38 GMT -8
I think we will see the O take some major strides forward this season and the D will continue to struggle. 8 Wins is possible (esp with a down BYU team) but there going to have to be some high scoring games this season.
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Post by sleepy on Jul 12, 2010 10:31:52 GMT -8
I'm still...
1) very comfortable with my original prediction of 7 wins
2) eyeing the home game against AFA as the key to the season
3) wondering what the hell Nichols State is doing on the schedule
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Post by hoobs on Jul 12, 2010 10:39:14 GMT -8
Let's get to 6 wins before we start worrying about 7, let alone 8.
For that matter, let's get to 3-1 before we think about anything more than 5 wins... Not trying to be pessimistic, just pragmatic. Many things are 'possible' right now. Hell, it's July, in theory the Aztecs would win 9 or 10 games. But that ain't gonna happen.
Patience with these lofty expectations, folks...
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Post by sdsuphilip on Jul 12, 2010 10:42:36 GMT -8
not going to happen
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Post by Deleted on Jul 12, 2010 10:44:01 GMT -8
Patience with these lofty expectations, folks... Curiosity killed the cat. Naive expectations have killed enjoyment of many an Aztecs season. |
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Post by AztecWilliam on Jul 12, 2010 10:47:44 GMT -8
Never say never. No, I'm not saying this will happen, but I am saying it is possible. Reasons?--- 1. Schedule. It is weak....weak....weak. 2. If the OLine can improve to average on the run game. (I know, this is a big question) 3. If the defense comes together early and is a little better than we think (especially at the corners and at DB). We have a top notch QB, with very talented receivers. We have a group of running back that aren't bad. We have a very good offensive coaching staff and head coach. We have a vet DLine, and a semi deep, semi vet linebackers. We have a good D Coordinator that can cause concern with his D when he has the right players. The db's and corners are young but fast and talented. The schedule has been weak, weak, weak for the last decade. I say it's not likely but it could happen. It all hinges on the Oline and defensive backfield. Actually, SDSU's non-conference schedule this year (and last year as well) is noticeably less challenging than those faced by Craft and Long. I think the 1995, 1996, and perhaps 1998 Aztecs would have won 7 games at least last year. Those teams would have beaten Idaho, Wyoming, and UNLV. The issue is, and always has been, the strength of the team not the difficulty of the schedule. Don't misunderstood; I think an easier non-conference is appropriate until the program gets back on its feet. Back to the 2010 campaign. Four wins is an absolute bottom, and a pretty shabby bottom it would be. Five wins would be disappointing but, especially if the team is competitive in most of the losses, not the end of the world. (As for public opinion, 5-7 would do little if anything to help arouse support for SDSU football. Of course, that just means that the public is not nearly as perceptive as are we expert fans! :  Six wins would be, in my opinion, the minimum to encourage the community to take a second look at the Aztecs. Seven or more wins, possible but not likely, would cause general exaltation! This team still has too many shaky to weak areas to expect a serious turnaround this year. Therefore, I say six wins. AzWm |
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Post by aztech on Jul 12, 2010 11:03:58 GMT -8
That being said, I still think we get just five wins as I think that NM, CSU, UNLV, and NM st will all be improved... Sorry, but I've seen this statement from others as well and it just kills me. So many feel we're standing still or getting worse while others just pass us by. We've been conditioned to accept this inferiority complex, cower to competition. Thanks to our past coaches' team performances it's understandable because it was true. But isn't that a big point Hoke is trying to get across? It's changing that losing attitude. Hell, we're improving too and I'd like to think even more so due to Wellman, Borges and Rocky. If Hoke gets us off to a good start this year it'll be easy for him to put that swagger into their minds. Maybe the fans' too. We haven't had that since Lugie, who proudly made us, "San Diego Stinkin' State." ;D |
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Post by k5james on Jul 12, 2010 11:06:08 GMT -8
Actually, SDSU's non-conference schedule this year (and last year as well) is noticeably less challenging than those faced by Craft and Long. No it's not. 1 FCS School 2 WAC Level Turds 1 BCS School Pretty much the same formula for the last decade with a few exceptions. |
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Six wins would be, in my opinion, the minimum to encourage the community to take a second look at the Aztecs. Seven or more wins, possible but not likely, would cause general exaltation!