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Post by Deleted on Dec 29, 2010 9:36:53 GMT -8
Just popped down a crispy on the red & black. Never know what can happen.
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Post by Old School on Dec 29, 2010 9:39:07 GMT -8
A year ago, we were a snowball's chance in....
Oldie Out
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Post by sdsuaztecs on Dec 29, 2010 9:45:04 GMT -8
Who is setting the odds?
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Post by Deleted on Dec 29, 2010 9:46:49 GMT -8
Our friends in the desert.
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Post by blueaztec on Dec 29, 2010 9:55:05 GMT -8
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Post by haleiwaaztec on Dec 29, 2010 10:18:59 GMT -8
If Butler can be 6 inches away from winning a national title, no reason why SDSU couldn't with this team. I realize it is very, very unlikely, but there is a chance.
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Post by Xolotl on Dec 29, 2010 10:28:20 GMT -8
I love the possibility but don't think it's time to get that far ahead of ourselves. Remember Wyoming last year? SH@t happens.
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Post by sdsuaztecs on Dec 29, 2010 10:29:59 GMT -8
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Post by sdsuaztecs on Dec 29, 2010 10:31:12 GMT -8
Actually I think those are great odds for SDSU. But something is wrong if SDSU is ranked # 7 but only 60-1 to win the whole thing.
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Post by nuthought on Dec 29, 2010 10:40:12 GMT -8
That equates to a 1.666% chance of winning the title. A quick calc of our chances would show that is just about right based on a 3 seed in the tourney. I would actually say it may be a good bet based on my arbitrary projections:
95% to make the tourney
If ranked as a 3 seed:
1st round, 3 vs 14: 75% win
2nd round, 3 v 6: 60% win
sweet 16, 3 vs. 2: 35% win
elite 8, 3 v 1: 30% win
final four, 3 v 1: 25% win
championship, 3 v 1: 20% win
That would make a 2.2% chance at the national title. Maybe I will get out to Vegas.
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Post by sdsuaztecs on Dec 29, 2010 10:46:03 GMT -8
My guess is we win the first and second round games and with "home" games at Anaheim, we're better than 50% to win those two games to get to the final four. So the best bet would be to get to the final four. Those odds should be about 10-1 but my guess is we have a better chance than 10-1.
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Post by aztecbrothers on Dec 29, 2010 11:15:07 GMT -8
Take the 60-1 now and lay it off after the second round.
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Post by sdsuaztecs on Dec 29, 2010 11:36:04 GMT -8
Who's the buyer if you "lay it off" and what are those odds?
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Post by nuthought on Dec 29, 2010 11:40:34 GMT -8
If you have a 60-1 ticket for $100 your payout would be 6K.
If they make the sweet sixteen then there odds will probably be somewhere between 16-1 to 24-1 so your ticket is worth around $300. I dont go all the way to Vegas to win $300 (of course you have to find a buyer or just make subsequent bets on all other remaining teams in the amount to make your roughly $300).
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Post by traholder on Dec 29, 2010 11:43:18 GMT -8
anybody have the odds for all the top ten teams?
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Post by sdsuaztecs on Dec 29, 2010 11:46:30 GMT -8
Finding a buyer is the problem...how do you even go about doing that?
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Post by texasaztec on Dec 29, 2010 11:46:36 GMT -8
From Dumb and Dumber...
Mary Swanson
"I wouldn't date you if you were the last man in the world."
LLoyd
"So, you're saying there's a chance!...YES!"
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Post by jeffreylw on Dec 29, 2010 12:07:36 GMT -8
The 60/1 odds were at the opening. It would be interesting to see if they have changed since they were released.
I am pretty sure you couldn't sell your ticket, if they made it to the sweet 16, to anyone other than a friend that wanted to buy it. If they were willing to do that they would buy it before the tourney.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 29, 2010 12:13:37 GMT -8
My guess is we win the first and second round games and with "home" games at Anaheim, we're better than 50% to win those two games to get to the final four. That fact is often overlooked here. IF we get that far, I will absolutely be there to root on our team and we need to pack the place with fans. |
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Post by traholder on Dec 29, 2010 12:16:50 GMT -8
anybody have the odds for all the top ten teams? |
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