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Post by laaztec on Nov 18, 2024 8:37:29 GMT -8
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Post by CbLsD on Nov 18, 2024 8:48:58 GMT -8
For the last couple of years, I think the Field of 68 podcast has said some nice things about our program, mainly Goodman, Rob D., and John Fanta. Some of the ex-players they have on, like Tyler Hansborough and Jon Henson, only seem to show interest in the traditional bluebloods.
I don’t feel comfortable picking the Aztecs tonight, but I also don’t know much about Gonzaga other than they’re number 4 in the country. I’m also well aware that rankings this early in the season aren’t always reliable
I’d be so effin jacked if we win tonight. Go Aztecs!!!!
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Post by couldashoulda on Nov 18, 2024 9:16:03 GMT -8
So, I think I want some of what Goodman is smoking! IF (big IF) we had both Waters and Byrd tonight, maybe. We know we won't have Waters, and Byrd will be game time decision. That means that Wayne, Nick, and BJ and possibly Kimo have to be the guys up top. After the big features this weekend in the UT on Heide and Gwath, we need that potential for both of them to show up tonight. Lots of "IF's", but yeah, I will be jacked as hell if they pull off a win! TBH, I would feel good about a single digit loss, especially if Byrd is not able to go.
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Post by bnastyaztecs on Nov 18, 2024 9:34:28 GMT -8
Threes and "D"...with The Show at full roar...that's the winning formula...remember no floor storming...no biggie if we win....
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Post by docmm on Nov 18, 2024 10:16:40 GMT -8
Threes and "D"...with The Show at full roar...that's the winning formula...remember no floor storming... no biggie if we win.... Beg to differ....yes, we're a successful program and have beaten a lot of very good teams in the past. But KenPom has us @ #52 and Gonzaga @ #3. That would be HUGE upset and worthy of court storming when you consider how very little D1 experience we even have on this team. I'm not expecting it but would be deliriously happy if it happened and will run out on that court and jump around like a drunken student. |
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Post by Old School on Nov 18, 2024 10:29:51 GMT -8
Oldie Out
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Post by aztecking on Nov 18, 2024 10:33:17 GMT -8
This is very surprising. This is the least confident I’ve ever felt in our ability to win a home game in maybe forever.
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Post by Frantic on Nov 18, 2024 10:38:00 GMT -8
Vegas spread is Zags -11.5.
Someone know the answer? I suspect -11.5 is probably the largest spread against the Aztecs at Viejas in 20 years or more.
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Post by coolethan on Nov 18, 2024 10:43:50 GMT -8
It’s going to be a tough one but we’ve absolutely got a chance to pull off the win. We can beat anyone in Viejas if we play our game.
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Post by RiffelBooks on Nov 18, 2024 10:48:19 GMT -8
Everyone is focused on what happened in our openers. Gonzaga was clearly ready to play, with four starters back. We were not, with no starters back. So hard to make a real comparison between the teams. We've beaten Nembhard and Ike before. If we don't win, just enjoy some good basketball.
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Post by aztecanthony on Nov 18, 2024 10:54:31 GMT -8
It’s going to be a tough one but we’ve absolutely got a chance to pull off the win. We can beat anyone in Viejas if we play our game. Aztecs win tonight, Magoon swats Ike multiple times, Boyd, McKinney, BJ shoot well, Pharoah dunks on somebody, Aztecs win by 5 points, my prognostication. |
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Post by jcljorgenson on Nov 18, 2024 10:57:09 GMT -8
A win is possible, we will need to make more than 40% of our 3FGs. Hopefully we didn't use them all up last game!
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Post by tecsonthebeach on Nov 18, 2024 12:20:51 GMT -8
Vegas spread is Zags -11.5. Someone know the answer? I suspect -11.5 is probably the largest spread against the Aztecs at Viejas in 20 years or more. I was wondering the same thing. Aztecs are +10 at CBS sports; still a huge spread for a game at Viejas. |
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Post by CbLsD on Nov 18, 2024 12:21:08 GMT -8
Vegas spread is Zags -11.5. Someone know the answer? I suspect -11.5 is probably the largest spread against the Aztecs at Viejas in 20 years or more. I can't find game-by-game ATS results for an entire season(s), which is annoying. Since 2005, we've only been a home underdog 17 times. Since 2014, we've only been a home underdog six times, but it doesn't show for which games or the point spread. We haven't been a home dog at all since 2021. The only time I could envision us being a home dog of 11.5 would be against some of the good Utah teams circa 2004-2006 or some time Arizona played at Viejas, but even 11.5 sounds like a stretch for these matchups. I remember a good James Harden ASU team came to Viejas, but there's no way that spread would've been close to 11.5. |
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Post by sdmotohead on Nov 18, 2024 12:34:06 GMT -8
I watched Gonzaga dismantle Baylor and out-tough a tough ASU team. They are legit. I am NOT optimistic with our chances tonight, especially w/o Waters and potentially Byrd.
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Post by mactec on Nov 18, 2024 12:40:47 GMT -8
Vegas spread is Zags -11.5. Someone know the answer? I suspect -11.5 is probably the largest spread against the Aztecs at Viejas in 20 years or more. I can't find game-by-game ATS results for an entire season(s), which is annoying. Since 2005, we've only been a home underdog 17 times. Since 2014, we've only been a home underdog six times, but it doesn't show for which games or the point spread. We haven't been a home dog at all since 2021. The only time I could envision us being a home dog of 11.5 would be against some of the good Utah teams circa 2004-2006 or some time Arizona played at Viejas, but even 11.5 sounds like a stretch for these matchups. I remember a good James Harden ASU team came to Viejas, but there's no way that spread would've been close to 11.5. In the last 15 years or so, I would guess that the two highest point spreads we've been given at home were vs Kansas (2016) and Gonzaga (2017). Those were two of our youngest (and worst on paper) teams in the last 15 years as well as the two best teams we've hosted at home, so I imagine those two games had similar spreads. If today's spread is lower, it's probably only because we don't play an excruciatingly slow pace like we did under Fisher. |
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Post by sdsuballer on Nov 18, 2024 13:23:51 GMT -8
Ill post it before someone beats me to it. Fire Dutcher.... This has to be the worse loss in the last 25 years. Beer is $20, parking an additional $40, and there is no seats in the arena because gucci row and media take all the seats. I remember when seats were $10 and coach fisher use to walk around handing them for free.
Oh did I mentioned:
No Saturday game again?
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Post by docmm on Nov 18, 2024 14:02:15 GMT -8
Ill post it before someone beats me to it. Fire Dutcher.... This has to be the worse loss in the last 25 years. Beer is $20, parking an additional $40, and there is no seats in the arena because gucci row and media take all the seats. I remember when seats were $10 and coach fisher use to walk around handing them for free. Oh did I mentioned: No Saturday game again? And....the show isn't what it used to be ......why do all the old people always leave so early? .....this year's team is overrated .....the beers too cold and the hot dogs too hot .....Viejas could use some canopies outside for when it rains |
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Post by couldashoulda on Nov 18, 2024 14:19:31 GMT -8
It’s going to be a tough one but we’ve absolutely got a chance to pull off the win. We can beat anyone in Viejas if we play our game. Aztecs win tonight, Magoon swats Ike multiple times, Boyd, McKinney, BJ shoot well, Pharoah dunks on somebody, Aztecs win by 5 points, my prognostication. So, Goodman passed the dookie to you? |
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Post by sdsuball on Nov 18, 2024 14:29:50 GMT -8
I watched Gonzaga dismantle Baylor and out-tough a tough ASU team. They are legit. I am NOT optimistic with our chances tonight, especially w/o Waters and potentially Byrd. Both games were played in Spokane. Baylor might be a T50 team, and Arizona State looks like a bubble team. Beating a T50 team by 40 at home is impressive, winning by 8 at home isn't - it's to be expected. On the other hand, we haven't really played anyone yet. I don't think the game against UCSD means much, it was our first time playing against a matchup zone, with a bunch of newcomers, and it was a tough hometown rival. We looked good against Occidental, which also doesn't mean much other then we are at least a competitive T50 team (with an unknown ceiling). The line moved from 6.5 I think to 10, indicating action on the Gonzaga side, indicating that sharp money is likely on Gonzaga. Without Byrd, I think Vegas sees this as a blowout. At the same time, SDSU is going to be a packed house, students are in school so it will be loud. I don't see it as a blowout. We will keep it close with our defense. Lots of young guys playing with nothing to lose, a ton of athleticism on our side. We could win, and I think more often then not we keep it close. See our game at home against them in 2017 (they were ranked #12) where we won on the back of senior guard play + RS freshman Jalen McBuckets. Gwath and Boyd could give it to them tonight. The spread is a reasonably safe bet, at the very least. Not sure if we do/don't have a legit shot of winning outright. Gonzaga probably wants this game really badly, which makes it less likely that we win outright. If Gonzaga loses, it will likely be due to defensive pressure forcing turnovers + transition buckets. |
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