RPI Effect of Air Force.

AztecBill
Coordinator

Posts: 15,904

RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 17, 2011 8:22:56 GMT -8

Quote

Post by AztecBill on Jan 17, 2011 8:22:56 GMT -8

Air Force
Win Loss Record 9-5 = .6429
Opponents W/L .4697
Yummy .5852 (.6429 * (2/3) + .4719 * (1/3))

Current SOS .5719 #25
New SOS .5726 #28 ((.5719 * 17 + .5852) / 18)

Current RPI .6789 #2
Win RPI .6795 #2
Loss RPI .6609 #7

Prior Opponets Games

Long Beach	19-Jan	at	CSU Fullerton	4-10(1-2)	308	75-69	W
Miami (OH)	19-Jan		Akron	8-5(0-0)	98	75-70	W
St. Mary's	19-Jan		San Diego	1-11(0-0)	304	88-41	W
Wichita St.	19-Jan		Northern Iowa	9-5(1-2)	68	83-71	W
San Diego	19-Jan	at	St. Mary's	10-2(0-0)	36	41-88	L

Prior Opponents are expected to go 4-1 on Wednesday. That will have a positive effect on our RPI.

Last Edit: Jan 19, 2011 14:19:09 GMT -8 by AztecBill

Since about 1976 the areal extent of sea-ice in the Northern Hemisphere has varied about a constant climatological level but in 1972-1975, sea-ice extent was significantly less - IPCC 1990 assessment, Page 224.

AztecBill
Coordinator

Posts: 15,904

RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 17, 2011 8:32:05 GMT -8

Quote

Post by AztecBill on Jan 17, 2011 8:32:05 GMT -8

RPI Forecast now has SDSU at #2. That is not how we are now but where we average in their simulations of games using Predictor to determine wins an losses.

RPIForecast

Nolan Power Ratings (NPI) now has SDSU #1 in the country.

It is quite obvious that Nolan is the best rating system there is.

Last Edit: Jan 17, 2011 8:33:37 GMT -8 by AztecBill

Since about 1976 the areal extent of sea-ice in the Northern Hemisphere has varied about a constant climatological level but in 1972-1975, sea-ice extent was significantly less - IPCC 1990 assessment, Page 224.

azdick Coordinator I Miss My Mind Posts: 3,819	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 17, 2011 10:07:00 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by azdick on Jan 17, 2011 10:07:00 GMT -8 Thanks Bill. Always appreciate your postings. And yes, Nolan is obviously the only legit poll out there. ;D

monty Coordinator Posts: 7,864	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 17, 2011 10:24:11 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by monty on Jan 17, 2011 10:24:11 GMT -8 nice to see Air force doesn't affect us. Those 2 possibly 3 games with wyo will though

redsuit Guest	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 17, 2011 12:40:59 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by redsuit on Jan 17, 2011 12:40:59 GMT -8 For once, af is not an rpi killer
	Last Edit: Jan 17, 2011 12:42:07 GMT -8 by redsuit

AztecBill Coordinator Posts: 15,904	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 17, 2011 14:39:02 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by AztecBill on Jan 17, 2011 14:39:02 GMT -8 Jan 17, 2011 12:40:59 GMT -8 @redsuit said: For once, af is not an rpi killer Yep. Their Yummy is .5840. As long as their Yummy is higher than our SOS, they improve our SOS.
	Since about 1976 the areal extent of sea-ice in the Northern Hemisphere has varied about a constant climatological level but in 1972-1975, sea-ice extent was significantly less - IPCC 1990 assessment, Page 224.

monty
Coordinator

Posts: 7,864

RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 17, 2011 14:43:35 GMT -8

Quote

Post by monty on Jan 17, 2011 14:43:35 GMT -8

Jan 17, 2011 14:39:02 GMT -8 AztecBill said:

Jan 17, 2011 12:40:59 GMT -8 @redsuit said:

For once, af is not an rpi killer

Yep. Their Yummy is .5840. As long as their Yummy is higher than our SOS, they improve our SOS.

since you've been showing your work, you not only get full credit, but it makes a lot more sense to me, thanks.

AztecBill Coordinator Posts: 15,904	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 19, 2011 14:20:41 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by AztecBill on Jan 19, 2011 14:20:41 GMT -8 Final update.
	Since about 1976 the areal extent of sea-ice in the Northern Hemisphere has varied about a constant climatological level but in 1972-1975, sea-ice extent was significantly less - IPCC 1990 assessment, Page 224.

AztecBill
Coordinator

Posts: 15,904

RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 20, 2011 9:24:32 GMT -8

Quote

Post by AztecBill on Jan 20, 2011 9:24:32 GMT -8

Prior opponents were predicted to go 4-1 but went 1-4. Instead of bumping us 15 points it cost us 15 points. A .0030 point RPI swing.

Long Beach	19-Jan	at	CSU Fullerton	4-10(1-2)	308	75-69	W	LOSS
Miami (OH)	19-Jan		Akron	8-5(0-0)	98	75-70	W	LOSS
St. Mary's	19-Jan		San Diego	1-11(0-0)	304	88-41	W	WIN
Wichita St.	19-Jan		Northern Iowa	9-5(1-2)	68	83-71	W	LOSS
San Diego	19-Jan	at	St. Mary's	10-2(0-0)	36	41-88	L	LOSS

Between now and when we see the results of the BYU game on our RPI, our prior opponents will play 20 games. They are predicted to go 8-12. Amazingly only 4 of the 20 are home games.

Gonzaga	20-Jan	at	Santa Clara	8-7(0-0)	202	78-72	W
IUPUI	20-Jan	at	Mizzou KC	7-7(1-3)	219	73-75	L
California	20-Jan	at	UCLA	9-5(1-1)	75	73-79	L
Cal Poly	20-Jan	at	UC Riverside	4-7(1-0)	174	74-84	L
San Francisco	20-Jan		Portland	12-3(0-0)	37	74-73	W
Wisc. Green Bay	21-Jan	at	Butler	9-5(2-1)	27	62-83	L
Long Beach	22-Jan	at	UC Irvine	6-8(1-1)	284	74-72	W
Gonzaga	22-Jan	at	San Francisco	4-9(0-0)	157	79-71	W
IUPUI	22-Jan	at	Southern Utah	3-9(1-3)	267	69-73	L
St. Mary's	22-Jan	at	Vanderbilt	11-2(0-0)	16	71-81	L
Wichita St.	22-Jan		Indiana St.	6-7(2-1)	160	83-63	W
California	22-Jan	at	USC	9-6(1-1)	56	67-76	L
San Diego	22-Jan		CSU Bakersfield	8-7(0-0)	226	77-75	W
Cal Poly	22-Jan	at	CSU Northridge	2-10(1-2)	294	70-77	L
UCSB	22-Jan	at	CSU Fullerton	4-10(1-2)	308	72-71	W
San Francisco	22-Jan		Gonzaga	9-5(0-0)	40	71-79	L
Wisc. Green Bay	23-Jan	at	Valparaiso	8-5(2-1)	70	67-81	L
Miami (OH)	23-Jan	at	Kent St.	8-5(0-0)	71	63-75	L
Long Beach	26-Jan	at	Pacific	6-6(1-1)	130	72-77	L
Wichita St.	26-Jan	at	Southern Ill.	8-6(2-1)	149	75-74	W

Last Edit: Jan 20, 2011 9:29:50 GMT -8 by AztecBill

Since about 1976 the areal extent of sea-ice in the Northern Hemisphere has varied about a constant climatological level but in 1972-1975, sea-ice extent was significantly less - IPCC 1990 assessment, Page 224.

longtimebooster Coordinator Posts: 13,156	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 20, 2011 9:58:54 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by longtimebooster on Jan 20, 2011 9:58:54 GMT -8 Bill, I'm assuming we'll vault to No. 1 RPI if when we beat BYU next week. No?

haleiwaaztec Coordinator Posts: 4,157	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 20, 2011 10:01:29 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by haleiwaaztec on Jan 20, 2011 10:01:29 GMT -8 It does suck that both Long Beach St. & Wichita St. lost since those are 2 of our better wins.

jcljorgenson Coordinator Posts: 6,696	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 20, 2011 10:20:42 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by jcljorgenson on Jan 20, 2011 10:20:42 GMT -8 Wold be great if Kansas loses to Texas on Saturday. OSU and SDSU would be the only two remaining undefeated teams, but we would also get that #1 RPI spot.

AztecBill Coordinator Posts: 15,904	RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 20, 2011 10:52:15 GMT -8 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by AztecBill on Jan 20, 2011 10:52:15 GMT -8 Jan 20, 2011 9:58:54 GMT -8 longtimebooster said: Bill, I'm assuming we'll vault to No. 1 RPI if when we beat BYU next week. No? No. Not if Kansas keeps winning.
	Since about 1976 the areal extent of sea-ice in the Northern Hemisphere has varied about a constant climatological level but in 1972-1975, sea-ice extent was significantly less - IPCC 1990 assessment, Page 224.

AztecBill
Coordinator

Posts: 15,904

RPI Effect of Air Force. Jan 21, 2011 8:25:15 GMT -8

Quote

Post by AztecBill on Jan 21, 2011 8:25:15 GMT -8

Prior Opponents went 2-3 last night. That counts as 2-4 since we played IUPUI twice. That is enough to move the Aztecs below Syracuse into #3 of RPI.

Gonzaga	20-Jan	at	Santa Clara	8-7(0-0)	202	78-72	W	Loss
IUPUI	20-Jan	at	Mizzou KC	7-7(1-3)	219	73-75	L	Loss
California	20-Jan	at	UCLA	9-5(1-1)	75	73-79	L	Loss
Cal Poly	20-Jan	at	UC Riverside	4-7(1-0)	174	74-84	L	WIN
San Francisco	20-Jan		Portland	12-3(0-0)	37	74-73	W	WIN
Wisc. Green Bay	21-Jan	at	Butler	9-5(2-1)	27	62-83	L
Long Beach	22-Jan	at	UC Irvine	6-8(1-1)	284	74-72	W
Gonzaga	22-Jan	at	San Francisco	4-9(0-0)	157	79-71	W
IUPUI	22-Jan	at	Southern Utah	3-9(1-3)	267	69-73	L
St. Mary's	22-Jan	at	Vanderbilt	11-2(0-0)	16	71-81	L
Wichita St.	22-Jan		Indiana St.	6-7(2-1)	160	83-63	W
California	22-Jan	at	USC	9-6(1-1)	56	67-76	L
San Diego	22-Jan		CSU Bakersfield	8-7(0-0)	226	77-75	W
Cal Poly	22-Jan	at	CSU Northridge	2-10(1-2)	294	70-77	L
UCSB	22-Jan	at	CSU Fullerton	4-10(1-2)	308	72-71	W
San Francisco	22-Jan		Gonzaga	9-5(0-0)	40	71-79	L
Wisc. Green Bay	23-Jan	at	Valparaiso	8-5(2-1)	70	67-81	L
Miami (OH)	23-Jan	at	Kent St.	8-5(0-0)	71	63-75	L
Long Beach	26-Jan	at	Pacific	6-6(1-1)	130	72-77	L
Wichita St.	26-Jan	at	Southern Ill.	8-6(2-1)	149	75-74	W

Last Edit: Jan 21, 2011 8:27:12 GMT -8 by AztecBill

Since about 1976 the areal extent of sea-ice in the Northern Hemisphere has varied about a constant climatological level but in 1972-1975, sea-ice extent was significantly less - IPCC 1990 assessment, Page 224.

RPI Effect of Air Force.

Post by AztecBill on Jan 17, 2011 8:22:56 GMT -8

Post by AztecBill on Jan 17, 2011 8:32:05 GMT -8

Post by azdick on Jan 17, 2011 10:07:00 GMT -8

Post by monty on Jan 17, 2011 10:24:11 GMT -8

Post by redsuit on Jan 17, 2011 12:40:59 GMT -8

Post by AztecBill on Jan 17, 2011 14:39:02 GMT -8

Post by monty on Jan 17, 2011 14:43:35 GMT -8

Post by AztecBill on Jan 19, 2011 14:20:41 GMT -8

Post by AztecBill on Jan 20, 2011 9:24:32 GMT -8

Post by longtimebooster on Jan 20, 2011 9:58:54 GMT -8

Post by haleiwaaztec on Jan 20, 2011 10:01:29 GMT -8

Post by jcljorgenson on Jan 20, 2011 10:20:42 GMT -8

Post by AztecBill on Jan 20, 2011 10:52:15 GMT -8

Post by AztecBill on Jan 21, 2011 8:25:15 GMT -8