SDSU Hoops No. 8 in Transfer Efficacy
May 15, 2024 10:59:58 GMT -8
hoobs, azson, and 1 more like this
Post by longtimebooster on May 15, 2024 10:59:58 GMT -8
SDSU has been a transfer portal wiz since long before the NIL tsunami washed ashore. How the program and its coaches manage the volatile dynamics of the transfer portal in the coming months/years will be interesting to see.
But here's an interesting data analysis of how effective SDSU has been to date in riding the transfer portal train.
blog.evanmiya.com/p/which-schools-get-the-most-out-of
Final Analysis: Outperforming Expectations
Since we can compare any player’s end-of-season BPR to his preseason projection, we can actually find out which teams consistently get their transfers to outperform expectations. To quantify this, I created a statistical model1 that estimates each team’s “Expected Transfer Improvement”, or how much, on average, a transfer is expected to outperform his transfer projection in BPR when he attends that school.
The top 25 programs in Expected Transfer Improvement are below:
San Diego State also made the top 10, having used transfers Darrion Trammell, Micah Parrish, and Matt Bradley to good effect on their way to a Final Four in 2023. They also had other transfers outperform expectations, KJ Feagin (Santa Clara) and Yanni Wetzell (Vanderbilt) in 2019-20 being the biggest ones.
But here's an interesting data analysis of how effective SDSU has been to date in riding the transfer portal train.
blog.evanmiya.com/p/which-schools-get-the-most-out-of
Final Analysis: Outperforming Expectations
Since we can compare any player’s end-of-season BPR to his preseason projection, we can actually find out which teams consistently get their transfers to outperform expectations. To quantify this, I created a statistical model1 that estimates each team’s “Expected Transfer Improvement”, or how much, on average, a transfer is expected to outperform his transfer projection in BPR when he attends that school.
The top 25 programs in Expected Transfer Improvement are below:
San Diego State also made the top 10, having used transfers Darrion Trammell, Micah Parrish, and Matt Bradley to good effect on their way to a Final Four in 2023. They also had other transfers outperform expectations, KJ Feagin (Santa Clara) and Yanni Wetzell (Vanderbilt) in 2019-20 being the biggest ones.
