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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 16:43:07 GMT -8
I agree, unless we win tonight. I say start them again tomorrow and then use the strategy of pulling them if we're getting crushed, or maybe don't start them if the Dodgers are way ahead against the Rockies. The Dodgers game starts at least an hour earlier than the Pads game. Not to beat a dead horse, but you're going to have the same reasoning the next day. It's just ignoring unnecessary risk. And, my opinion is if the Padres win today, and if the Dodgers game early on is a ballgame, you stick with a winning strategy, and the same reasoning as today. Remember, funny things can happen in Colorado. I'm confident that Shildt will be smart about the overall situation. I personally don't think the word "unnecessary" applies in this situation, yet. It's necessary to give it your best up to a point, and my opinion is that it hasn't reached that point, yet. Beating a dead horse. |
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 17:13:18 GMT -8
Not to beat a dead horse, but you're going to have the same reasoning the next day. It's just ignoring unnecessary risk. And, my opinion is if the Padres win today, and if the Dodgers game early on is a ballgame, you stick with a winning strategy, and the same reasoning as today. Remember, funny things can happen in Colorado. I'm confident that Shildt will be smart about the overall situation. I personally don't think the word "unnecessary" applies in this situation, yet. It's necessary to give it your best up to a point, and my opinion is that it hasn't reached that point, yet. Beating a dead horse. You're talking about the same guy who has used Suarez to death for the last month and a half, when his K/9 is down to 6.75 now. It's definitely unnecessary. We don't want the bye. |
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 18:01:06 GMT -8
And, my opinion is if the Padres win today, and if the Dodgers game early on is a ballgame, you stick with a winning strategy, and the same reasoning as today. Remember, funny things can happen in Colorado. I'm confident that Shildt will be smart about the overall situation. I personally don't think the word "unnecessary" applies in this situation, yet. It's necessary to give it your best up to a point, and my opinion is that it hasn't reached that point, yet. Beating a dead horse. You're talking about the same guy who has used Suarez to death for the last month and a half, when his K/9 is down to 6.75 now. It's definitely unnecessary. We don't want the bye. It's more on Suarez for a few reasons. They adjusted to him, he's not hitting his spots and he doesn't have a good secondary pitch. He's still throwing a 100. But, I do think either Scott or Estrada should close, depending on who's coming up in the ninth inning. I'll take the division. It's a long shot, but like I said, make it day to day, and inning by inning on when to pull the plug. |
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 18:10:39 GMT -8
You're talking about the same guy who has used Suarez to death for the last month and a half, when his K/9 is down to 6.75 now. It's definitely unnecessary. We don't want the bye. It's more on Suarez for a few reasons. They adjusted to him, he's not hitting his spots and he doesn't have a good secondary pitch. He's still throwing a 100. But, I do think either Scott or Estrada should close, depending on who's coming up in the ninth inning. I'll take the division. It's a long shot, but like I said, make it day to day, and inning by inning on when to pull the plug. It's definitely not on Suarez, but....k. |
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 18:16:53 GMT -8
It's more on Suarez for a few reasons. They adjusted to him, he's not hitting his spots and he doesn't have a good secondary pitch. He's still throwing a 100. But, I do think either Scott or Estrada should close, depending on who's coming up in the ninth inning. I'll take the division. It's a long shot, but like I said, make it day to day, and inning by inning on when to pull the plug. It's definitely not on Suarez, but....k. It's absolutely more on Suarez. The guy is still trying to blow it by people down the middle. I think Shildt should make a change, but it's Suarez who's not performing by thinking he doesn't need to work on a good secondary pitch, and thinking he can still simply blow it by people. I hope Suarez wises up real quick like because we can use him right about now. Moving on. |
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 18:27:34 GMT -8
It's definitely not on Suarez, but....k. It's absolutely more on Suarez. The guy is still trying to blow it by people down the middle. I think Shildt should make a change, but it's Suarez who's not performing by thinking he doesn't need to work on a good secondary pitch, and thinking he can still simply blow it by people. I hope Suarez wises up real quick like because we can use him right about now. Moving on. This is why it's impossible.... Suarez is up to 64 appearances. His career high is 45. Regression was inevitable when you're that far over your career norms. Simple stuff. He had 26 appearances last season...you're going to nearly triple that by the time this season is over. He's been overused. Plain and simple. His changeup has a 47.5% whiff rate. That's really good. It's just too firm with not enough separation from the fastball at this point. He was never going to duplicate his first half numbers with a strand rate of 92%. A monkey could read the analytics sheet and interpret that. It's 127% on the manager not recognizing a guy who isn't getting the IVB on his fastball that makes it such a devastating pitch for seven or eight weeks now. The movement profile has diminished, along with some plain BABIP regression (from .224 ib the first half) that was likewise inevitable. Unless you've talked to Robert Suarez, that's an insane statement to make. |
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Post by junior on Sept 26, 2024 18:30:15 GMT -8
The 3-16 with RISP stat in this series - so far - is not good.
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 18:31:26 GMT -8
The 3-16 with RISP stat in this series - so far - is not good. Buehler isn't likely to go deep, so they need to figure it out with some better quality contact. He's scuffling. |
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 18:46:38 GMT -8
Buehler has two swings and misses, both to Fernando in an AB where there were six balls and no strikes. Tatis somehow struck out.
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 18:48:25 GMT -8
It's absolutely more on Suarez. The guy is still trying to blow it by people down the middle. I think Shildt should make a change, but it's Suarez who's not performing by thinking he doesn't need to work on a good secondary pitch, and thinking he can still simply blow it by people. I hope Suarez wises up real quick like because we can use him right about now. Moving on. This is why it's impossible.... Suarez is up to 64 appearances. His career high is 45. Regression was inevitable when you're that far over your career norms. Simple stuff. He had 26 appearances last season...you're going to nearly triple that by the time this season is over. He's been overused. Plain and simple. His changeup has a 47.5% whiff rate. That's really good. It's just too firm with not enough separation from the fastball at this point. He was never going to duplicate his first half numbers with a strand rate of 92%. A monkey could read the analytics sheet and interpret that. It's 127% on the manager not recognizing a guy who isn't getting the IVB on his fastball that makes it such a devastating pitch for seven or eight weeks now. The movement profile has diminished, along with some plain BABIP regression (from .224 ib the first half) that was likewise inevitable. Unless you've talked to Robert Suarez, that's an insane statement to make. It's on Suarez for not doing his job. He's not hitting his spots and he's using his fastball too much, but that's because he doesn't have a secondary pitch that he can rely on. The other teams have figured him out. He's still hitting 100 on the radar gun. He can't adjust because he doesn't have confidence in a secondary pitch, or he'd throw it more. I would be more inclined to say he's been over used if his fast ball speed dipped, but it hasn't, so it's on him for not pitching well. If you're throwing 100, you'll get away with it early in the season, but not late in the season. Simple facts. I was telling myself early in the season that if he doesn't stop throwing it down the middle, he's going to get hurt later in the season unless he has a back up pitch. I saw this many a times on teams with players like that. They start off blowing people away, and then later in the season get hammered. Happens a lot. He was still throwing it down the middle in the early part of the season, but teams have adjusted. Happens all the time. He couldn't adjust to that himself, and that's on him. Where I lay a little blame on Shildt is the fact that at this point he should change closers, and he hasn't yet. Suarez got a little overconfident when he was getting away with blowing people away with fast all's down the middle. That was the worst thing that could have happened to him. |
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 18:51:11 GMT -8
Home plate umps in this series are woefully, consistently, for both teams. But of course, someone always gets hurt worse from a run expectancy standpoint.
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 18:53:21 GMT -8
This is why it's impossible.... Suarez is up to 64 appearances. His career high is 45. Regression was inevitable when you're that far over your career norms. Simple stuff. He had 26 appearances last season...you're going to nearly triple that by the time this season is over. He's been overused. Plain and simple. His changeup has a 47.5% whiff rate. That's really good. It's just too firm with not enough separation from the fastball at this point. He was never going to duplicate his first half numbers with a strand rate of 92%. A monkey could read the analytics sheet and interpret that. It's 127% on the manager not recognizing a guy who isn't getting the IVB on his fastball that makes it such a devastating pitch for seven or eight weeks now. The movement profile has diminished, along with some plain BABIP regression (from .224 ib the first half) that was likewise inevitable. Unless you've talked to Robert Suarez, that's an insane statement to make. It's on Suarez for not doing his job. He's not hitting his spots and he's using his fastball too much, but that's because he doesn't have a secondary pitch that he can rely on. The other teams have figured him out. He's still hitting 100 on the radar gun. He can't adjust because he doesn't have confidence in a secondary pitch, or he'd throw it more. I would be more inclined to say he's been over used if his fast ball speed dipped, but it hasn't, so it's on him for not pitching well. If you're throwing 100, you'll get away with it early in the season, but not late in the season. Simple facts. I was telling myself early in the season that if he doesn't stop throwing it down the middle, he's going to get hurt later in the season unless he has a back up pitch. I saw this many a times on teams with players like that. They start off blowing people away, and then later in the season get hammered. Happens a lot. He was still throwing it down the middle in the early part of the season, but teams have adjusted. Happens all the time. He couldn't adjust to that himself, and that's on him. Where I lay a little blame on Shildt is the fact that at this point he should change closers, and he hasn't yet. Suarez got a little overconfident when he was getting away with blowing people away with fast all's down the middle. That was the worst thing that could have happened to him. Just completely batshit nonsense. Tried to give you the benefit of the doubt. You're just mindlessly speculating. Pass. By the way, overuse doesn't equal velocity drops. It does, however, equal command and release point issues. |
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 19:05:44 GMT -8
It's on Suarez for not doing his job. He's not hitting his spots and he's using his fastball too much, but that's because he doesn't have a secondary pitch that he can rely on. The other teams have figured him out. He's still hitting 100 on the radar gun. He can't adjust because he doesn't have confidence in a secondary pitch, or he'd throw it more. I would be more inclined to say he's been over used if his fast ball speed dipped, but it hasn't, so it's on him for not pitching well. If you're throwing 100, you'll get away with it early in the season, but not late in the season. Simple facts. I was telling myself early in the season that if he doesn't stop throwing it down the middle, he's going to get hurt later in the season unless he has a back up pitch. I saw this many a times on teams with players like that. They start off blowing people away, and then later in the season get hammered. Happens a lot. He was still throwing it down the middle in the early part of the season, but teams have adjusted. Happens all the time. He couldn't adjust to that himself, and that's on him. Where I lay a little blame on Shildt is the fact that at this point he should change closers, and he hasn't yet. Suarez got a little overconfident when he was getting away with blowing people away with fast all's down the middle. That was the worst thing that could have happened to him. Just completely batshit nonsense. Tried to give you the benefit of the doubt. You're just mindlessly speculating. Pass. Ha!!! You're a real tool. We'll leave it at that. You tried to give me the benefit of the doubt. That's so laughable. You are absolutely not someone who I look at for approval. That's what bats**t crazy, but your narcissism will look in that direction. I can tell you don't know the other side of the game. It's glaring. You're only a stat robot who clings to that only. Have at it. There should one of those kind of robots mixed in with the rest of us. |
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 19:08:23 GMT -8
It's on Suarez for not doing his job. He's not hitting his spots and he's using his fastball too much, but that's because he doesn't have a secondary pitch that he can rely on. The other teams have figured him out. He's still hitting 100 on the radar gun. He can't adjust because he doesn't have confidence in a secondary pitch, or he'd throw it more. I would be more inclined to say he's been over used if his fast ball speed dipped, but it hasn't, so it's on him for not pitching well. If you're throwing 100, you'll get away with it early in the season, but not late in the season. Simple facts. I was telling myself early in the season that if he doesn't stop throwing it down the middle, he's going to get hurt later in the season unless he has a back up pitch. I saw this many a times on teams with players like that. They start off blowing people away, and then later in the season get hammered. Happens a lot. He was still throwing it down the middle in the early part of the season, but teams have adjusted. Happens all the time. He couldn't adjust to that himself, and that's on him. Where I lay a little blame on Shildt is the fact that at this point he should change closers, and he hasn't yet. Suarez got a little overconfident when he was getting away with blowing people away with fast all's down the middle. That was the worst thing that could have happened to him. Just completely batshit nonsense. Tried to give you the benefit of the doubt. You're just mindlessly speculating. Pass. By the way, overuse doesn't equal velocity drops. It does, however, equal command and release point issues. Overuse doesn't equal velocity drop? Ok, that's when I know, actually I've known for quite some time now, that you're a novice in many things except stats. He was pitching the same early in the season, throwing it down the middle at a 100. The difference is that they adjusted, and he did not. I'll give you the stat department, but in the future strive to be more well rounded. It will serve you well. Over and out Robot Stat Ryan. |
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 19:11:43 GMT -8
Just completely batshit nonsense. Tried to give you the benefit of the doubt. You're just mindlessly speculating. Pass. Ha!!! You're a real tool. We'll leave it at that. You tried to give me the benefit of the doubt. That's so laughable. You are absolutely not someone who I look at for approval. That's what bats**t crazy, but your narcissism will look in that direction. I can tell you don't know the other side of the game. It's glaring. You're only a stat robot who clings to that only. Have at it. There should one of those kind of robots mixed in with the rest of us. The "other side of the game" meaning you make things up that don't really exist? You're talking about Suarez being lazy, not working on a secondary pitch, being overconfident....none of those things are provable. You're guessing. And it's not even true. |
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Post by aztecryan on Sept 26, 2024 19:13:58 GMT -8
Just completely batshit nonsense. Tried to give you the benefit of the doubt. You're just mindlessly speculating. Pass. By the way, overuse doesn't equal velocity drops. It does, however, equal command and release point issues. Overuse doesn't equal velocity drop? Ok, that's when I know, actually I've known for quite some time now, that you're a novice in many things except stats. He was pitching the same early in the season, throwing it down the middle at a 100. The difference is that they adjusted, and he did not. I'll give you the stat department. But, in the future strive to be more well rounded. It will serve you well. Over and out Robot Stat Ryan. Sucks to be wrong. |
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 19:21:52 GMT -8
Ha!!! You're a real tool. We'll leave it at that. You tried to give me the benefit of the doubt. That's so laughable. You are absolutely not someone who I look at for approval. That's what bats**t crazy, but your narcissism will look in that direction. I can tell you don't know the other side of the game. It's glaring. You're only a stat robot who clings to that only. Have at it. There should one of those kind of robots mixed in with the rest of us. The "other side of the game" meaning you make things up that don't really exist? You're talking about Suarez being lazy, not working on a secondary pitch, being overconfident....none of those things are provable. You're guessing. And it's not even true. To answer your question, no, I'm not guessing. You're guessing that I'm guessing because you don't know anything more than stats it seems and you haven't talked to people in the know that's on the team. I never said that he was lazy, you're putting words in my mouth. I'm saying that he's so enamored with his fastball and the early success he had with it, he still thinks he can just blow it by people, even with two strikes. I'm not speculating. I've heard this, and on top of it, it's there for all to see. It's not rocket science for most. |
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 19:22:51 GMT -8
Overuse doesn't equal velocity drop? Ok, that's when I know, actually I've known for quite some time now, that you're a novice in many things except stats. He was pitching the same early in the season, throwing it down the middle at a 100. The difference is that they adjusted, and he did not. I'll give you the stat department. But, in the future strive to be more well rounded. It will serve you well. Over and out Robot Stat Ryan. Sucks to be wrong. I know it does, so don't let it bother you too much. You'll bounce back. |
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Post by junior on Sept 26, 2024 19:27:04 GMT -8
Roberts should'a listened to Buehler and left him in. Padres plate another run.
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Post by johneaztec on Sept 26, 2024 19:27:42 GMT -8
Roberts should'a listened to Buehler and left him in. Padres plate another run. Thank goodness. |
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