|
Post by aztecmusician on Aug 21, 2018 0:14:38 GMT -8
Since this year has been over for quite some time, how about next years lineup? I know it’s early, but we can only argue about the sub par season and prospects for so long before it gets old.
C. Hedges/Mejia 1B. Hosmer 2B. Urias 3B. Tatis Jr. SS. Galvis RF. Renfroe CF. Margot LF. Myers
Starters: Luchessi, Lamet, Free Agent, Lauer, Nix/Kennedy Bullpen: Stammen, Yates, Cimber
If Tatis and Urias are in the picture next, I predict Galvis will be retained as a veteran presence. Not a bad lineup, the rotation will continue to be inconsistent, a FA is needed to provide stability and innings.
|
|
|
Post by AztecBill on Aug 22, 2018 11:34:22 GMT -8
Since this year has been over for quite some time, how about next years lineup? I know it’s early, but we can only argue about the sub par season and prospects for so long before it gets old. C. Hedges/Mejia 1B. Hosmer 2B. Urias 3B. Tatis Jr. SS. Galvis RF. Renfroe CF. Margot LF. Myers Starters: Luchessi, Lamet, Free Agent, Lauer, Nix/Kennedy Bullpen: Stammen, Yates, Cimber If Tatis and Urias are in the picture next, I predict Galvis will be retained as a veteran presence. Not a bad lineup, the rotation will continue to be inconsistent, a FA is needed to provide stability and innings. So is Cimber a free agent and you predict him coming back here? You are also predicting we sign Glavis. I think Mejia and Myers will both see time at 3B. Tatis and Urias will both be 20 next season. Padres will probably give them more time at AAA.
|
|
|
Post by aztecmusician on Aug 22, 2018 12:29:26 GMT -8
There is a decent chance Cimber will be back. He has been reasonably effective AND he certainly won’t break the payroll wide open. Galvis also makes sense, his veteran presence will help stabilize the younger players IMO. Of course Preller’s “dazzling insight” may see things a bit differently. I’m sure there will be some trades, hopefully the highly flammable starting rotation will see some new guys who can put together some quality 6’s and not get injured after 4 or 5 starts.
|
|
|
Post by aztecryan on Aug 22, 2018 18:35:32 GMT -8
Pushing Tatis to third for Galvis is one of the craziest things ever (And no, you're not alone with that)....I expect Tatis to be the opening day shortstop, provided he gets through spring training healthy. He had basically a full season at AA. The only thing I see potentially negating that is service time manipulation, but I'm not sure that's "real" in this case. Hedges/Mejia should be a platoon, although I think Mejia should eventually be the full time catcher. Urias/Tatis up the middle, free agent at third (Escobar?) Renfroe/Margot/Myers in the outfield unless they sign a Pollock type in free agency. The only way I see Galvis re-signing here is a 1 year "pillow" deal which I don't think he will take. Giving him beyond that makes no sense.
|
|
|
Post by AztecBill on Aug 22, 2018 22:39:25 GMT -8
Pushing Tatis to third for Galvis is one of the craziest things ever (And no, you're not alone with that)....I expect Tatis to be the opening day shortstop, provided he gets through spring training healthy. He had basically a full season at AA. The only thing I see potentially negating that is service time manipulation, but I'm not sure that's "real" in this case. Hedges/Mejia should be a platoon, although I think Mejia should eventually be the full time catcher. Urias/Tatis up the middle, free agent at third (Escobar?) Renfroe/Margot/Myers in the outfield unless they sign a Pollock type in free agency. The only way I see Galvis re-signing here is a 1 year "pillow" deal which I don't think he will take. Giving him beyond that makes no sense. What MLB.com says about Tatis at SS: "That larger frame doesn't currently impede Tatis Jr.'s abilities at shortstop, where he makes highlight-reel plays on a daily basis thanks to his athleticism, range and rocket arm". C: Hedges/Mejia 1B: Hosmer 2b: Urias ss: Tatis 3b: Myers CF: Margot OF: Renfroe OF: Reyes/Mejia Lucchesi Lauer Erlin Paddock/Allen/Baez (promising Rookies) Perdomo/Lamet (young pitchers returning from injury) FA?
|
|
|
Post by AztecBill on Aug 22, 2018 23:20:41 GMT -8
Since this year has been over for quite some time, how about next years lineup? I know it’s early, but we can only argue about the sub par season and prospects for so long before it gets old. C. Hedges/Mejia 1B. Hosmer 2B. Urias 3B. Tatis Jr. SS. Galvis RF. Renfroe CF. Margot LF. Myers Starters: Luchessi, Lamet, Free Agent, Lauer, Nix/Kennedy Bullpen: Stammen, Yates, CimberIf Tatis and Urias are in the picture next, I predict Galvis will be retained as a veteran presence. Not a bad lineup, the rotation will continue to be inconsistent, a FA is needed to provide stability and innings. Cimber will be controlled by Cleveland for 5 more seasons.
|
|
|
Post by aztecmusician on Aug 25, 2018 16:43:36 GMT -8
Franchey or Franmil?
|
|
|
Post by aztecryan on Aug 26, 2018 9:35:31 GMT -8
Cordero (if healthy from elbow surgery) and it isn't close. Franmil is a negative on defense and his K rate is through the roof. Could use more time in AAA, but he is destined to be in the AL someday.
|
|
|
Post by azteca on Aug 26, 2018 15:02:00 GMT -8
Speaking of K’s, how about the multi-million dollar investment in Hosmer? Geez, he’s has not been what was hoped for by any means. Not impressed. I wouldn’t give up on Reyes quite so quickly either.
|
|
|
Post by aztecryan on Aug 26, 2018 22:30:36 GMT -8
I'm not going to quit on a guy in year one of an eight year deal. I'm not giving up on Reyes, but the statistics don't lie. He has great raw power, but he has a 34% K rate and is a huge negative on defense. He profiles best as a DH. In terms of comparing Cordero and Reyes - Cordero has the edge pretty much everywhere. 70 power/70 speed combo is hard to beat. If he ever puts it all together and can stay healthy, he's an elite level player.
|
|
|
Post by azteca on Aug 27, 2018 12:48:29 GMT -8
I'm not going to quit on a guy in year one of an eight year deal. I'm not giving up on Reyes, but the statistics don't lie. He has great raw power, but he has a 34% K rate and is a huge negative on defense. He profiles best as a DH. In terms of comparing Cordero and Reyes - Cordero has the edge pretty much everywhere. 70 power/70 speed combo is hard to beat. If he ever puts it all together and can stay healthy, he's an elite level player. All very big ifs and I’m not sure I agree with you on Reyes defense. He’s certainly not great but neither is he a huge liability. And I’m not giving up on Hosmer, just very disappointed at this point.
|
|
|
Post by aztecryan on Aug 27, 2018 13:00:49 GMT -8
Season Team Pos Inn rSB rGDP rARM rGFP rPM DRS BIZ Plays RZR OOZ CPP RPP TZL FSR ARM DPR RngR ErrR UZR UZR/150 2018 Padres RF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2 Total - - - RF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2 2018 Padres OF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2 Total - - - OF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2
You don't have to agree with me, just look at the metrics.
|
|
|
Post by azteca on Aug 27, 2018 13:06:24 GMT -8
Season Team Pos Inn rSB rGDP rARM rGFP rPM DRS BIZ Plays RZR OOZ CPP RPP TZL FSR ARM DPR RngR ErrR UZR UZR/150 2018 Padres RF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2 Total - - - RF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2 2018 Padres OF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2 Total - - - OF 325.0 0 -1 2 1 36 32 .889 20 -1.0 -0.8 -0.2 -2.0 -10.2 You don't have to agree with me, just look at the metrics. That’s unreadable at my end and, you’re right, I don’t have to agree with you. You know, the agree to disagree thing.
|
|
|
Post by aztecryan on Aug 27, 2018 15:04:29 GMT -8
In a nutshell, he is a net negative in range, zone rating and arm. It isn't his fault, considering he's so huge by default. Just is what it is. Renfroe is the better hitter, both aren't great in the outfield.
|
|
|
Post by azteca on Aug 27, 2018 15:26:52 GMT -8
And Renfroe has been in the league for a while longer. Eleven homers in limited abs in his first year is pretty decent since he’s only been with the big club for a short time. He’d also have more RBI’s if the guys in front of him could get in base. If the Pads trade him too soon they’ll regret it for sure.
|
|
|
Post by aztecryan on Aug 27, 2018 18:18:28 GMT -8
There's a reason he wasn't on the top 30 prospect list.
|
|
|
Post by azteca on Aug 27, 2018 18:45:22 GMT -8
Not sure how valid that list is anymore. Plus, I believe management said they wanted to see how how he would perform. There’s a reason they brought him up because he was doing so well in the minors. I see no reason to continue this discussion as it appears you’re the expert on everything Padres. Don’t mean to sound harsh.
|
|
|
Post by aztecryan on Aug 27, 2018 18:50:41 GMT -8
Not an expert. I just track these things and he was always thought of as a guy with huge raw strength. He just doesn't have a carrying tool beyond that. And I'm curious why you think the lists aren't valid anymore? Any of them, whether's it's Baseball America or FG or whoever have been mosty solid.
|
|
|
Post by ignoranus on Aug 28, 2018 9:41:33 GMT -8
I'm thinking that the club should tell Reyes to report for spring training weighing 240-250 lbs, and in very good physical condition. Working with weights might help. A "Cut" version of Reyes could be a much different player.
At a lower weight he should be faster and better able to field. Also his quickness with the bat/swing should be improved.
It's worth a try.
|
|
|
Post by aztecmusician on Aug 28, 2018 10:47:22 GMT -8
Hosmer’s WAR is still well below 1.0, which is pathetic. He might be the least effective everyday 1B in the NL. Unacceptable when considering the huge contract he signed with the Pads. Another Preller whiff.
|
|