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Post by tonatiuh on May 28, 2015 9:18:18 GMT -8
Lake Elsinore has a nice park. This will be fun. It soitenly is a nice park, and close to Lake Elsinore. Plus, if you will notice we have as many wins as anyone in our bracket, so our chances are very good. Go cheer our Aztecs on to victory for Tony Gwynn!
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Post by justanothersdsufan on May 28, 2015 9:46:15 GMT -8
Just saw a tweet that says Dillon Tate will be starting the game vs SDSU
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Post by sleepy on May 28, 2015 15:38:02 GMT -8
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Post by jdgaucho on May 28, 2015 16:59:18 GMT -8
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Post by aardvark on May 28, 2015 22:02:25 GMT -8
So I know the reason you guys can't actually host the tournament (lights 'n stuff), but why was the tourney moved so far away? Where the numbers 2 and 4 seeds have the advantage of being much closer to the venue than you, the 1 seed. And is there a clamor on campus to finally bring your field into the 21st century? USC finishing fourth in the Pac-12 was what dropped them to a 2 seed and you, well you were outside the RPI top-50. I guess Coach Checketts didn't want to use Cal Poly or USC's field, and Fullerton is already hosting at home. He must have thought Lake Elsinore would be more friendly towards pitchers. Yes, I'm hoping this episode will encourage donors to pony up some cash and bring in lights, expanded seating capacity and improved media accomodations and food concessions. If we make progress there I think he'll stay. There are plenty of worse locations to coach than sunny Santa Barbara. For the record, I was hoping we would place a bid to host here in San Diego. No better place than Tony Gwynn Stadium for UC Santa Barbara to start their march to Omaha. Not like you folks won much at home this year or anything Lake Elsinore FRIENDLY towards pitchers? Lots of room in the gaps and deep, but anything pulled should get out of the yard--especially to RF where it's only 310 down the line (with a really tall fence). If it's warm the ball will jump in that park, especially with the composite bats.
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Post by jdgaucho on May 28, 2015 22:29:00 GMT -8
USC finishing fourth in the Pac-12 was what dropped them to a 2 seed and you, well you were outside the RPI top-50. I guess Coach Checketts didn't want to use Cal Poly or USC's field, and Fullerton is already hosting at home. He must have thought Lake Elsinore would be more friendly towards pitchers. Yes, I'm hoping this episode will encourage donors to pony up some cash and bring in lights, expanded seating capacity and improved media accomodations and food concessions. If we make progress there I think he'll stay. There are plenty of worse locations to coach than sunny Santa Barbara. For the record, I was hoping we would place a bid to host here in San Diego. No better place than Tony Gwynn Stadium for UC Santa Barbara to start their march to Omaha. Not like you folks won much at home this year or anything Lake Elsinore FRIENDLY towards pitchers? Lots of room in the gaps and deep, but anything pulled should get out of the yard--especially to RF where it's only 310 down the line (with a really tall fence). If it's warm the ball will jump in that park, especially with the composite bats. Checketts was a pitching coach at UC Riverside for a few years. He has to know the area relatively well and choosing Lake Elsinore was no accident. He had to have known something about that stadium. I found this piece from Baseball America written a couple years ago. From 2010 to 2012, Lake Elsinore's stadium was 8th out of 10 teams in the California League for total runs per game and 9th in homeruns per game. Also 8th in some metric called park factor for runs (PF-R) www.baseballamerica.com/today/minors/season-preview/2013/2614870.htmlThe park factor for runs (PF-R) is listed last. A reading of 1.000 is exactly average and assumes that a player will play half his games at home. High Class A High Desert has the highest PF-R (1.228) in the full-season minors, indicating that Mavericks batters receive roughly a 23 percent boost by playing half their games at that park. On the other end of the spectrum, low Class A Savannah's .880 PF-R indicates that batters are penalized about 12 percent based on their home park.
To use the park factors, take a batter's runs created per game or a pitcher's runs allowed per game (or whatever your metrics of choice might be) and divide by his park factor. This will give you a crude a park-adjusted rate of production for any minor league player. Lake Elsinore's park factor was 0.939, btw. The Weather Channel is predicting a low of 61 tomorrow.
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Post by jdgaucho on May 28, 2015 22:56:01 GMT -8
Another piece from 2013. www.milb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20130225&content_id=41998650&fext=.jsp&vkey=news_milb Here's an in-depth look at the park factors for each of the full-season stadiums since 2010. Where a club has relocated or changed leagues, two parks between the three years were listed. The table looked at three counting stats -- runs, home runs and hits -- and used a formula to help compare one park from another.
((Runs scored at home + runs allowed at home)/(Home games)) / ((Runs scored on the road + runs allowed on the road)/(Road games))
Note: A park factor of 1.000 is considered neutral and represented an equal number of runs/homers/hits at home as on the road. A factor over 1.000 favors hitters, while a factor under 1.000 favors pitchers. If I am reading this correctly, at the Lake Elsinore Storm's ballpark home runs are suppressed by 42%, runs 12% and hits 7% compared to everyone else. It's more than just the dimensions. We've only hit 17 home runs this year as a team. We've also only given up 16 despite facing teams with considerably more pop like USC, Fresno, Pepperdine, Wichita State and Sac State. Then again when you're bottom 50 in home runs hit everyone has more pop than you.
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Post by aardvark on May 29, 2015 7:44:39 GMT -8
Lake Elsinore FRIENDLY towards pitchers? Lots of room in the gaps and deep, but anything pulled should get out of the yard--especially to RF where it's only 310 down the line (with a really tall fence). If it's warm the ball will jump in that park, especially with the composite bats. Checketts was a pitching coach at UC Riverside for a few years. He has to know the area relatively well and choosing Lake Elsinore was no accident. He had to have known something about that stadium. I found this piece from Baseball America written a couple years ago. From 2010 to 2012, Lake Elsinore's stadium was 8th out of 10 teams in the California League for total runs per game and 9th in homeruns per game. Also 8th in some metric called park factor for runs (PF-R) www.baseballamerica.com/today/minors/season-preview/2013/2614870.htmlThe park factor for runs (PF-R) is listed last. A reading of 1.000 is exactly average and assumes that a player will play half his games at home. High Class A High Desert has the highest PF-R (1.228) in the full-season minors, indicating that Mavericks batters receive roughly a 23 percent boost by playing half their games at that park. On the other end of the spectrum, low Class A Savannah's .880 PF-R indicates that batters are penalized about 12 percent based on their home park.
To use the park factors, take a batter's runs created per game or a pitcher's runs allowed per game (or whatever your metrics of choice might be) and divide by his park factor. This will give you a crude a park-adjusted rate of production for any minor league player. Lake Elsinore's park factor was 0.939, btw. The Weather Channel is predicting a low of 61 tomorrow. The low of 61 will be near sunrise--a non-factor. The game should begin with temps at or above 80--cooling to near 70 by 10 pm. The stats you quote are with wood bats--I look for high-scoring games at The Diamond this weekend for the most part.
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Post by pbaztec17 on May 29, 2015 7:46:24 GMT -8
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Post by jdgaucho on May 29, 2015 10:38:22 GMT -8
The low of 61 will be near sunrise--a non-factor. The game should begin with temps at or above 80--cooling to near 70 by 10 pm. The stats you quote are with wood bats--I look for high-scoring games at The Diamond this weekend for the most part. Great point. I did not take into account the difference in bats used. That's the unknown factor. It'll be fun to see how much of a difference it makes, if any.
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Post by sdcoug on May 29, 2015 10:49:16 GMT -8
The low of 61 will be near sunrise--a non-factor. The game should begin with temps at or above 80--cooling to near 70 by 10 pm. The stats you quote are with wood bats--I look for high-scoring games at The Diamond this weekend for the most part. Great point. I did not take into account the difference in bats used. That's the unknown factor. It'll be fun to see how much of a difference it makes, if any. Curious, do you think your coach jumps to Arizona after the season? Heard he's a serious candidate there & elsewhere.
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Post by jdgaucho on May 29, 2015 10:50:02 GMT -8
Just saw a tweet that says Dillon Tate will be starting the game vs SDSU John Manuel of Baseball America said during his previous mock draft, that Tate has concerned scouts regarding his potential as a starter in the pros. Scouts have increasing doubts in Tate’s ability to remain a starter, as his stuff has faded with his innings pitched more than double his career total. Tate’s pitching off his fastball less and off his slider more. Wisely, UC Santa Barbara has chosen to skip his turn this weekend to rest him for regional play, though scouting sources indicate the Gauchos will use him in relief this weekend.Tate threw 43 innings last year and just three as a freshman, all in relief. He's up to 95.1 innings in 2015 as a starter. Didn't appear in the UCR series so he comes in with two weeks off. Something to keep an eye on.
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Post by missiontrails on May 29, 2015 10:51:52 GMT -8
The low of 61 will be near sunrise--a non-factor. The game should begin with temps at or above 80--cooling to near 70 by 10 pm. The stats you quote are with wood bats--I look for high-scoring games at The Diamond this weekend for the most part. Great point. I did not take into account the difference in bats used. That's the unknown factor. It'll be fun to see how much of a difference it makes, if any. Checking if local tortilla resellers are seeing a run on Frisbee-sized versions of their product. Keep it classy Gauchos.
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Post by jdgaucho on May 29, 2015 10:59:00 GMT -8
Curious, do you think your coach jumps to Arizona after the season? Heard he's a serious candidate there & elsewhere. Checketts recently signed a contract extension through 2019, but now it doesn't matter. The deciding factor will be what happens following this whole "hosting" fiasco. If he feels like we will make an effort to upgrade our stadium and make it capable of hosting a regional with lights, increased capacity, improved concessions, etc., then I think he will stay. If not, then he's gone.
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Post by standiego on May 29, 2015 11:17:02 GMT -8
Games will be on 1700 ESPN AM Radio
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Post by sdcoug on May 29, 2015 11:23:28 GMT -8
Curious, do you think your coach jumps to Arizona after the season? Heard he's a serious candidate there & elsewhere. Checketts recently signed a contract extension through 2019, but now it doesn't matter. The deciding factor will be what happens following this whole "hosting" fiasco. If he feels like we will make an effort to upgrade our stadium and make it capable of hosting a regional with lights, increased capacity, improved concessions, etc., then I think he will stay. If not, then he's gone. What's he making there? I'd have think if UA offers he's gone no matter what, especially if they're paying in the $300k range in a better conference.
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Post by jdgaucho on May 29, 2015 11:37:07 GMT -8
He earned $152,600 in 2013. I'm assuming that was his salary last year as well, give or take a few grand.
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Post by jdgaucho on May 29, 2015 12:11:40 GMT -8
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