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Post by AztecBill on Jun 17, 2010 12:59:32 GMT -8
What a huge victory. The fact that it is 2-0 gives Mexico a huge upper hand in the tie breakers.
First tie breaker is goal differential. Since This makes Mexico +2 and France -2 that is a 4 point swing.
The second tie breaker is goals scored. Mexico is now up 3 over France since their tie was 1-1 not 0-0.
The third tie breaker is head to head. Mexico has that over France.
So for France to move on they have to win. Mexico has to lose. France has to:
MLD = Mexico's Loss differential
FWD = France's Win differential
MLD + FWD = 4 plus France scores 4 more goals than Mexico in those games.
or
MLD + FWD > 4
Doubtful that France can move on.
France finished in the top 4 in 4 of the last 5 world cups. They are not as strong this year. France is rated #15 in the world right behind #14 USA.
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Post by sdsuphilip on Jun 17, 2010 18:38:30 GMT -8
Mexico may choke this
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Post by AztecTom on Jun 17, 2010 21:21:17 GMT -8
france is done, bunch of ungrateful p#ssies!!! Can't wait for mexico to flame out next!
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Post by sdsuphilip on Jun 17, 2010 22:35:40 GMT -8
france is done, bunch of ungrateful p#ssies!!! Can't wait for mexico to flame out next! well hope Uruguay wins group then |
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 18, 2010 8:42:30 GMT -8
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Post by sdsuphilip on Jun 18, 2010 9:06:42 GMT -8
Ill give it a 20 % chance |
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 18, 2010 10:44:07 GMT -8
Ill give it a 20 % chance Mexico has about a 75% chance of either beating or tying Uruguay - Mexico is the better team. If Mexico loses they have a good chance of only losing by 1. Esp since they know losing by one would place a very difficult chance on France. If Mexico loses 2-1, France would have to win by a score of 4-0 or 5-1 - not likely. Combining all those odds moves the chance of France making it way below your 20%. What odds do you give for Mexico losing to Uruguay? What odds do you give for France winning by at least 3 goals? |
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Post by aztecinoz on Jun 20, 2010 4:32:40 GMT -8
Mexico will win the group and I hope South Africa beat France.
There is a small chance the US and Mexico will play if we both win our groups or come in second in our groups. That would be epic (and it would mean we are both in the quarterfinals).
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Post by AztecTom on Jun 20, 2010 21:49:16 GMT -8
The french team= a huge Clusterf#ck! I told you guys that those smelly, ungrateful, hairy bastards are done!!! F#ck the french and there national team! Viva la france my ass! Arrogant pricks not to mention a bunch of p#ssies who can't back $#!+ up!
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Post by sdsuphilip on Jun 20, 2010 23:25:35 GMT -8
Ill give it a 20 % chance Mexico has about a 75% chance of either beating or tying Uruguay - Mexico is the better team. If Mexico loses they have a good chance of only losing by 1. Esp since they know losing by one would place a very difficult chance on France. If Mexico loses 2-1, France would have to win by a score of 4-0 or 5-1 - not likely. Combining all those odds moves the chance of France making it way below your 20%. What odds do you give for Mexico losing to Uruguay? What odds do you give for France winning by at least 3 goals? Id give it a 35 % shot of happening, Uruguay is a very organized team, if Uruguay scores first they will win 15% only because it is South Africa and they have virtually no talent but France hasn't gotten many good chances in scoring areas I didn't say France was going to win group, rather I still think they have a decent chance of getting out of group as the second team |
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Post by AztecTom on Jun 21, 2010 6:43:10 GMT -8
Mexico has about a 75% chance of either beating or tying Uruguay - Mexico is the better team. If Mexico loses they have a good chance of only losing by 1. Esp since they know losing by one would place a very difficult chance on France. If Mexico loses 2-1, France would have to win by a score of 4-0 or 5-1 - not likely. Combining all those odds moves the chance of France making it way below your 20%. What odds do you give for Mexico losing to Uruguay? What odds do you give for France winning by at least 3 goals? Id give it a 35 % shot of happening, Uruguay is a very organized team, if Uruguay scores first they will win 15% only because it is South Africa and they have virtually no talent but France hasn't gotten many good chances in scoring areas I didn't say France was going to win group, rather I still think they have a decent chance of getting out of group as the second team Uruguay and mexico are going through in this group just like I predicted. |
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Post by uwaztec on Jun 21, 2010 13:38:53 GMT -8
The french team= a huge Clusterf#ck! I told you guys that those smelly, ungrateful, hairy bastards are done!!! F#ck the french and there national team! Viva la france my ass! Arrogant pricks not to mention a bunch of p#ssies who can't back $#!+ up! Yes, the French team has a lot of problems. But what's all the rest of the French hate for? They have won a World Cup, we do have a French player on the basketball team...and we do have at least one French-born Aztectalker...and that would be me. Could do without the rest of your diatribe.  |
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Post by sdsuphilip on Jun 22, 2010 8:00:40 GMT -8
Not at all surprised by uruguay mexico result, uruguay is so sound defensivly they just don't make mistakes they are a very tough out, france just has no chemistry and that is obvious
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 22, 2010 13:54:47 GMT -8
Not at all surprised by uruguay mexico result, uruguay is so sound defensivly they just don't make mistakes they are a very tough out, france just has no chemistry and that is obvious But Mexico would have to have lost 5-0 for France to go on, if France had won. That is why you thinking France had a chance to go on makes me think you don't know how this all works. |
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Post by sdsuphilip on Jun 22, 2010 18:57:09 GMT -8
Not at all surprised by uruguay mexico result, uruguay is so sound defensivly they just don't make mistakes they are a very tough out, france just has no chemistry and that is obvious But Mexico would have to have lost 5-0 for France to go on, if France had won. That is why you thinking France had a chance to go on makes me think you don't know how this all works. Wouldnt have France had to win 3-0? |
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