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Post by johneaztec on Aug 6, 2024 20:12:12 GMT -8
Padres should win, but Machado's back to King of GIDP again. Two more tonight. Machado had some really bad at-bats today, and a complete lack of effort running out of the box on a ground ball to short that had a chance to be a single. Wonder if he's under the weather. No, that's the norm for Machado. He rarely runs hard to first.
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Post by aardvark on Aug 6, 2024 20:12:26 GMT -8
Padres should win, but Machado's back to King of GIDP again. Two more tonight. And...his team picked him up. 14 hits spread amongst 8 players. 6-10 with RISP.
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Post by docmm on Aug 6, 2024 20:13:00 GMT -8
Padres should win, but Machado's back to King of GIDP again. Two more tonight. Machado had some really bad at-bats today, and a complete lack of effort running out of the box on a ground ball to short that had a chance to be a single. Wonder if he's under the weather. Not "running balls out" has been the biggest complaint about him over the years. I think he's said before that he's trying to save his energy when he knows he'll need it and he wasn't going to bet those out anyway. But I have seen a few occasions where him hustling more might have made a difference. We'll bitch about him and then tomorrow he'll go yard twice. That's Manny.
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Post by docmm on Aug 6, 2024 20:24:16 GMT -8
Dodgers are losing 4-1 in the 8th. If they do, we're only 4 games out from them. We're 10 games over .500 (62-52)
We're now in the #1 Wild Card position, a half-game ahead of Arizona and a full game ahead of Atlanta.
The Mets are a game and a half behind Atlanta, the Cardinals are 3 games behind the Braves with the Pirates four behind.
We have 48 games left, if we just went 26-22, we'd finish at 88-74. 88 games would have made the 3-team Wild Card for the last 10 years.
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Post by johneaztec on Aug 6, 2024 20:31:45 GMT -8
Machado had some really bad at-bats today, and a complete lack of effort running out of the box on a ground ball to short that had a chance to be a single. Wonder if he's under the weather. Not "running balls out" has been the biggest complaint about him over the years. I think he's said before that he's trying to save his energy when he knows he'll need it and he wasn't going to bet those out anyway. But I have seen a few occasions where him hustling more might have made a difference. We'll bitch about him and then tomorrow he'll go yard twice. That's Manny. Yeah, it still bugs me when he doesn't run hard, but not as much as it used to. I advocate for hustling all the time, but Manny more than makes up for it with not only his offense, but his defense, as well. The last thing we need is for him to pull a hammy.
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Post by junior on Aug 6, 2024 20:47:27 GMT -8
Dodgers are losing 4-1 in the 8th. If they do, we're only 4 games out from them. We're 10 games over .500 (62-52) We're now in the #1 Wild Card position, a half-game ahead of Arizona and a full game ahead of Atlanta. The Mets are a game and a half behind Atlanta, the Cardinals are 3 games behind the Braves with the Pirates four behind. We have 48 games left, if we just went 26-22, we'd finish at 88-74. 88 games would have made the 3-team Wild Card for the last 10 years. Former Padre pitcher Grunt a Funnysmell is doing his best to help his old team out - it's now 6–2 Phils.
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Post by sdsuball on Aug 6, 2024 20:55:17 GMT -8
We had a "bullpen" game and we still have Jacob, Matsui and Suarez available tomorrow. Cease isn't scheduled again till the 11th but I'd be surprised if he doesn't pitch before then, especially if Musgrove is pitching this weekend. I think you have Cease go again in a couple of days and treat today like a bullpen game. Maybe him and Musgrove go back to back, or maybe you give everyone an extra day of rest.
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Post by johneaztec on Aug 6, 2024 21:18:39 GMT -8
We had a "bullpen" game and we still have Jacob, Matsui and Suarez available tomorrow. Cease isn't scheduled again till the 11th but I'd be surprised if he doesn't pitch before then, especially if Musgrove is pitching this weekend. I think you have Cease go again in a couple of days and treat today like a bullpen game. Maybe him and Musgrove go back to back, or maybe you give everyone an extra day of rest. I like that idea.
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Post by aardvark on Aug 6, 2024 21:35:36 GMT -8
Dodgers are losing 4-1 in the 8th. If they do, we're only 4 games out from them. We're 10 games over .500 (62-52) We're now in the #1 Wild Card position, a half-game ahead of Arizona and a full game ahead of Atlanta. The Mets are a game and a half behind Atlanta, the Cardinals are 3 games behind the Braves with the Pirates four behind. We have 48 games left, if we just went 26-22, we'd finish at 88-74. 88 games would have made the 3-team Wild Card for the last 10 years. Arizona with a traditional DH tomorrow in Cleveland. Let's go Indians, er, Guardians.
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Post by aztecryan on Aug 6, 2024 21:53:46 GMT -8
Arizona has a brutal schedule with seven games against Milwaukee, a road series at Philadelphia after the Guardians series, a series with the Astros, a series with LA and San Diego to close the season...they are going to be tested.
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Post by aztecryan on Aug 6, 2024 21:54:16 GMT -8
Jackson Merrill, at the conclusion of tonight's game, is now in the top 10 in franchise history for single season rookie WAR.
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Post by aardvark on Aug 6, 2024 22:26:43 GMT -8
Jackson Merrill, at the conclusion of tonight's game, is now in the top 10 in franchise history for single season rookie WAR. It would be nice if Merrill had a chance for the ROY award. As long as Skenes stays healthy, Merrill has no shot at the award.
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Post by aztecryan on Aug 6, 2024 22:33:49 GMT -8
Jackson Merrill, at the conclusion of tonight's game, is now in the top 10 in franchise history for single season rookie WAR. It would be nice if Merrill had a chance for the ROY award. As long as Skenes stays healthy, Merrill has no shot at the award. Yeah, that ship has sailed. Skenes is -6000 right now.
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Post by aztecryan on Aug 6, 2024 22:35:26 GMT -8
Jeremiah Estrada leads all National League relievers in strikeout rate.
39.3%, which trails only Mason Miller in baseball.
The Padres have five of the top 27 relievers in baseball in Stuff+ and four of the top 13.
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Post by docmm on Aug 7, 2024 8:34:01 GMT -8
It would be nice if Merrill had a chance for the ROY award. As long as Skenes stays healthy, Merrill has no shot at the award. Yeah, that ship has sailed. Skenes is -6000 right now. Agree that he is by far the odds-on favorite BUT.....they don't vote on it until the end of the season. The last two outings for Skenes lasted 11 innings and he allowed 3 earned runs. That's obviously still very good but he gave up 10 hits and 6 walks also. That is different from what he had been allowing. They're still giving him about 100 on his pitch count but he has been pitching less innings on that count than previously. Now he may pitch 18 straight shutout inning in his next appearances but all I'm saying is that if he does start hitting the rookie pitcher wall and starts to give up 3-4-5 runs in 5-7 inning outings, that -6000 number will drop substantially if Jackson continues to play well. So as Jim Carrey so aptly put it in "Dumb and Dumber"......."so you're telling me there's a chance?!"
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Post by aztecryan on Aug 7, 2024 8:40:49 GMT -8
Yeah, that ship has sailed. Skenes is -6000 right now. Agree that he is by far the odds-on favorite BUT.....they don't vote on it until the end of the season. The last two outings for Skenes lasted 11 innings and he allowed 3 earned runs. That's obviously still very good but he gave up 10 hits and 6 walks also. That is different from what he had been allowing. They're still giving him about 100 on his pitch count but he has been pitching less innings on that count than previously. Now he may pitch 18 straight shutout inning in his next appearances but all I'm saying is that if he does start hitting the rookie pitcher wall and starts to give up 3-4-5 runs in 5-7 inning outings, that -6000 number will drop substantially if Jackson continues to play well. So as Jim Carrey so aptly put it in "Dumb and Dumber"......."so you're telling me there's a chance?!" No, I'm saying there's virtually no chance. Merrill's second half has been just okay, he needed a massive one to overcome the draft pick pedigree and bias. He's having a very good season, just unfortunate that a generational prospect debuted at the same time. Skenes isn't going to throw that many innings to have the chance to hit the wall.
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Post by docmm on Aug 7, 2024 10:16:51 GMT -8
Right now he's about 36 innings aways from the assumed 150-inning limit that would be used by Pittsburgh to shut him down. That would include the 29 innings he pitched in the Minors this season. So that's 5-6 more outings. Things can happen in that many outings.
And "virtually no chance", always gives you the out to have said "I said there's no chance Merrill can win it" if he doesn't win it and still say "well, I said virtually, so that meant there WAS a chance" if he were to win.
Very clever.
BTW Draftkings has Skenes at -2000 so that's quite a difference.
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Post by aztecryan on Aug 7, 2024 10:42:05 GMT -8
Right now he's about 36 innings aways from the assumed 150-inning limit that would be used by Pittsburgh to shut him down. That would include the 29 innings he pitched in the Minors this season. So that's 5-6 more outings. Things can happen in that many outings. And "virtually no chance", always gives you the out to have said "I said there's no chance Merrill can win it" if he doesn't win it and still say "well, I said virtually, so that meant there WAS a chance" if he were to win. Very clever. BTW Draftkings has Skenes at -2000 so that's quite a difference. Futures odds vary a lot depending on where you shop, due to tbe market holds the sportsbooks charge and the length of time remaining. Odds will fluctuate wildly in pure numbers, but not implied probability. -2000 vs. -6000 is only a gap of 3.1%. If you want it more directly, Skenes is winning the award. Merrill needed something ridiculous, like 4.5+ WAR, to have a chance to get past the pedigree and the hype. I think Skenes wins it unanimously.
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Post by azson on Aug 7, 2024 11:12:11 GMT -8
Merrill has said on the record many times he couldn't give a flying F about the ROY, it's WS or bust...in case we needed another reason to love the kid.
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Post by johneaztec on Aug 7, 2024 11:28:34 GMT -8
Merrill has said on the record many times he couldn't give a flying F about the ROY, it's WS or bust...in case we needed another reason to love the kid. The ultimate, great team player. His teammates seem to love him. Incredible upgrade from Grisham, to say the least. He's been the s**ts for the Yankees. Love the person, but he's only a very good outfielder. So glad we traded him.
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