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Post by jeffreylw on Jan 20, 2020 17:26:22 GMT -8
They opened at 24.5 down to 24 now. vegasinsider.comThey had to come up with a high enough number to not get bet up. |
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Post by The Aztec Panther on Jan 20, 2020 17:27:19 GMT -8
It's a trap!!!
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Post by zurac315 on Jan 20, 2020 17:29:09 GMT -8
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Post by DeeMoney on Jan 20, 2020 17:35:18 GMT -8
Hey they just gave Nevada a scare on the road, and were tied with Boise midway through the 2nd. I fully expect a double digit lead by the half and a 15+ point victory, but stranger things have happened.
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Post by bagtec on Jan 20, 2020 17:49:26 GMT -8
Dutch likes emptying the bench in the last 5 mins if its a comfortable lead.
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Post by aztecking on Jan 20, 2020 17:51:22 GMT -8
Dutch likes emptying the bench in the last 5 mins if its a comfortable lead. He actually doesn’t though. He keeps the starters in longer than Fisher did. |
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Post by 12414 on Jan 20, 2020 17:52:44 GMT -8
IMO, a no bet. One is trying to predict the point differential in garbage time.
There will be much better betting opportunities this week. Like Florida -3 vs Auburn was last week.
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Post by legkick on Jan 20, 2020 17:56:44 GMT -8
Dutch likes emptying the bench in the last 5 mins if its a comfortable lead. It depends on the meaning of comfortable. He seems to want to maintain the 10 point mov factor built into the NET. But if they lead by 20, very likely he does what you say. |
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Post by aztecking on Jan 20, 2020 18:03:23 GMT -8
Dutch likes emptying the bench in the last 5 mins if its a comfortable lead. It depends on the meaning of comfortable. He seems to want to maintain the 10 point mov factor built into the NET. But if they lead by 20, very likely he does what you say. It’s a bit arbitrary to just keep starters in to get the MOV bonus since offensive and defensive efficiency are not limited to a certain margin of victory and we don’t know the relative importance of each metric in the NET formula. Putting the bench in hurts our offensive and defensive efficiency rating. |
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Post by bagtec on Jan 20, 2020 18:42:17 GMT -8
its getting to that time in the season where you want you top 7 rotation guys to get rest, especially if the game is already decided. 10 points 20 points it all depends on how dutch feels. this game is somewhat unique as we play tues/sun rather then the somewhat tradtional weds/sat.
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Post by waxxon on Jan 20, 2020 19:44:21 GMT -8
From a sports betting standpoint, take the points
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Post by legkick on Jan 20, 2020 20:04:54 GMT -8
It’s a bit arbitrary to just keep starters in to get the MOV bonus since offensive and defensive efficiency are not limited to a certain margin of victory and we don’t know the relative importance of each metric in the NET formula. Putting the bench in hurts our offensive and defensive efficiency rating. It's what he does though, regardless of efficiency. But he doesn't do it to the extent Fisher did. They put in all the subs in the last minute of the Nevada game (it would have been earlier but no game stoppage for 2 straight minutes), and Keshad Johnson single handedly damaged the team's offense efficiency. Against Wyoming, he put in the entire bench with 2 minutes left, in a 23 point game. He has also reinserted starters to maintain large leads this year. If we're winning by 20+ tomorrow, expect more than a minute from the subs. |
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Post by Den60 on Jan 20, 2020 20:41:15 GMT -8
Dutch likes emptying the bench in the last 5 mins if its a comfortable lead. Yep, take Wyoming and the points. |
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Post by aztecnails on Jan 20, 2020 22:16:42 GMT -8
An AZTECS win officially eliminates Wyoming from the top seed in the mwc tournament. The AZTECS would have 9 wins and Wyoming 9 losses.
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Post by aztech on Jan 20, 2020 22:29:28 GMT -8
I think playing Flynn should be limited in this game. We need to save his legs. Otherwise it'll affect his 3 pointers.
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Post by jeffreylw on Jan 21, 2020 5:32:34 GMT -8
From a sports betting standpoint, take the points It's working, down to 23. |
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Post by jalmonb on Jan 21, 2020 7:24:05 GMT -8
Remember the song, "Do you know your way to San Jose?" Don't expect a repeat, but take the points and Cowboys.
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Post by North County Aztec on Jan 21, 2020 8:26:13 GMT -8
Take the points and the Pokes, I don't see Dutch running the score up
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Post by aztec619 on Jan 21, 2020 13:25:29 GMT -8
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Post by standiego on Jan 21, 2020 13:55:39 GMT -8
need a solid win at home and also need to blend in the reserves that we are going to depend on as the season proceeds
Important that Dutcher go over with Guys what is needed most from AG - Joel , Keshan or Nolan is defense , rebounding , taking care of the basketball plus passing and movement with out the ball - things they still have to learn . Offensive rebounding is another part of the game and can be important .
Also making FT's
In addition need smart play on both ends of the court from Adam and Trey - show leadership and other parts of their game besides trying to score
Would hope that Dutcher puts some of the reserves in with starters - so they get used to flow not strictly playing as second team .
After the Cowboys game - 3 crucial games - AT UNLV - it will be for first place if we beat Cowboys and UNLV beats Nevada ,then another road game AT the PIT another tough place to play . Then home against USU and if their center is back to full strength could be a very tough game . 3 games in 7 days
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