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Post by fanhood on Jun 21, 2017 11:15:58 GMT -8
Alabama? I'm surprised they can actually pull their heads out of Saban's arse long enough to look for the west coast of the USA!! ] They do look west of Alabama. When you lose two years in a row to South Alabama expectation for SDSU is very low. Plus we lost one of our best running backs of all time. Would not be surprise if Wyoming also ended up being in front of us. Their QB is a legit 1st rd pick. After predicting 12-0 last year I will go out on a limp and say we end up with a 8-4 record this year. Too much experience left our team. We will lose to Stanford, ASU, Boise, and the Rocky yearly special to New Mexico. While I do not agree with you, and would be disappointed with 8-4, your prediction would put us in the MWC Championship Game with a change to win the conference, and have another double digit win season. It is great how much our expectations of the program have changed. 10-4 with a championship would seem like a let down. The negative of that is, people would be stupidly calling for Rocky's head. |
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Post by Boise Aztec on Jun 21, 2017 15:21:51 GMT -8
It was a classic example of what Steve Fisher always warned his teams against. Don't let a team beat you twice, in this case the loss to UW killed SDSU in the prep and energy level against CSU. If we had made the two point conversion against Wyoming then I am sure the CSU game would have been very different. Possibly, but the exact same thing happened to Wyoming as well. They had a huge letdown game coming off the win (crushed by NM), so it's very possible we would have as well. The motivation for the game would have been the same - hosting, and that wasn't enough to overcome the emotional letdown. Kind of, except... 1. They were on the road and we were at home 2. We would have won in an amazing way, they just "hung" on for the win 3. Rocky said that we were flat all week and at the game and Rocky doesn't say that type of thing... would we have been flat anyway, maybe but I think not. |
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Post by sdcoug on Jun 21, 2017 15:28:40 GMT -8
Possibly, but the exact same thing happened to Wyoming as well. They had a huge letdown game coming off the win (crushed by NM), so it's very possible we would have as well. The motivation for the game would have been the same - hosting, and that wasn't enough to overcome the emotional letdown. Kind of, except... 1. They were on the road and we were at home 2. We would have won in an amazing way, they just "hung" on for the win3. Rocky said that we were flat all week and at the game and Rocky doesn't say that type of thing... would we have been flat anyway, maybe but I think not. They made a play to win on the last play of the game - it was "amazing" in their eyes. When you "hang on" to win on the last play that's as emotional as losing on the last play of the game. Either way, all you remember is the last play, and the game overall was an emotional game for both teams. Wyoming's coach also feared his team would have a let down despite the fact they were heavy favorites to win, even if on the road. He was right as well. Rocky has actually used Wyoming's letdown vs. NM when describing his own teams letdown vs. CSU. The only thing that's known is we'll never know. |
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Post by sdsustoner on Jun 21, 2017 17:51:55 GMT -8
This is our annual default ranking from these lazy bozos.
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Post by Gundo on Jun 21, 2017 20:18:51 GMT -8
SDSU is better than CSU and pretty much the same as Boise. I dont think Athlon knows anything about Football west of Texas, nor do they care. |
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Post by zurac315 on Jun 22, 2017 15:20:07 GMT -8
Wasn't Boise picked to win the conference for the last two years? These predictions don't mean much.
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Post by tonatiuh on Jun 22, 2017 16:22:40 GMT -8
Stanford, HI, BSU or The Boy Scouts, and one (at least one) we have no business in losing (same story every year on that note)... If Boy Scouts means the Air Force Academy, consider this: Rocky is 7-0 against the AFA as an Aztec DC/HC, and AFA only has one starter returning on Defense. That record is exactly what has me concerned. We are 6-0 against AFA since 2010, but this is the very first time we have won this many games in a row over them. Before that the best we ever did was three in a row when Craft was leading the Aztecs. Our overall record vs. AFA is 15 -19, and they are due a victory over us. They usually find a way either due to exceptional play, or mistakes on our part. And, I wouldn't be surprised if Hawaii (in Honolulu) gives us a good game this season. The way New Mexico has looked the past 2 years you can't overlook them either. Not worried, just concerned, because you never know what can happen. |
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Post by fanhood on Jun 22, 2017 19:09:18 GMT -8
If Boy Scouts means the Air Force Academy, consider this: Rocky is 7-0 against the AFA as an Aztec DC/HC, and AFA only has one starter returning on Defense. That record is exactly what has me concerned. We are 6-0 against AFA since 2010, but this is the very first time we have won this many games in a row over them. Before that the best we ever did was three in a row when Craft was leading the Aztecs. Our overall record vs. AFA is 15 -19, and they are due a victory over us. They usually find a way either due to exceptional play, or mistakes on our part. And, I wouldn't be surprised if Hawaii (in Honolulu) gives us a good game this season. The way New Mexico has looked the past 2 years you can't overlook them either. Not worried, just concerned, because you never know what can happen. The old coin flip argument. |
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Post by sdcoug on Jun 23, 2017 9:35:25 GMT -8
If Boy Scouts means the Air Force Academy, consider this: Rocky is 7-0 against the AFA as an Aztec DC/HC, and AFA only has one starter returning on Defense. That record is exactly what has me concerned. We are 6-0 against AFA since 2010, but this is the very first time we have won this many games in a row over them. Before that the best we ever did was three in a row when Craft was leading the Aztecs. Our overall record vs. AFA is 15 -19, and they are due a victory over us. They usually find a way either due to exceptional play, or mistakes on our part. And, I wouldn't be surprised if Hawaii (in Honolulu) gives us a good game this season. The way New Mexico has looked the past 2 years you can't overlook them either. Not worried, just concerned, because you never know what can happen. The paranoid "the odds will even out" theory is definitely a common theme among fans (unless your 'Bama, etc.), so can't blame you there! It's the general feeling I get before EVERY game. That said, I tend to think of it more as dice vs. a coin flip that'll eventually balance out. Some if not most years we get 1-3 & they get 4-6. However, next year given all AF's losses on D & elsewhere I see it more as we have 1-4 & they have 5-6 & it'd be 1-5 us if we were playing at home. Sure, they could win (1 in 3) but you gotta like our chances against that D & given Rocky's history against them. Those play in our favor not against us. Agree 100% on Hawaii! That's going to be tough. Not concerned about NM at home (unless we have division wrapped up & not playing for home field in CG). If I had to bet I'd bet on 9-3, but 10-2 & 8-4 wouldn't surprise me. All are definitely possible. |
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Post by fanhood on Jun 23, 2017 12:18:35 GMT -8
That record is exactly what has me concerned. We are 6-0 against AFA since 2010, but this is the very first time we have won this many games in a row over them. Before that the best we ever did was three in a row when Craft was leading the Aztecs. Our overall record vs. AFA is 15 -19, and they are due a victory over us. They usually find a way either due to exceptional play, or mistakes on our part. And, I wouldn't be surprised if Hawaii (in Honolulu) gives us a good game this season. The way New Mexico has looked the past 2 years you can't overlook them either. Not worried, just concerned, because you never know what can happen. The paranoid "the odds will even out" theory is definitely a common theme among fans (unless your 'Bama, etc.), so can't blame you there! It's the general feeling I get before EVERY game. That said, I tend to think if it as dice vs. a coin flip that'll eventually balance out. Some if not most years we get 1-3 & they get 4-6. However, next year given all AF's losses on D & elsewhere I see it more as we have 1-4 & they have 5-6 & it'd be 1-5 us if we were playing at home. Sure, they could win (1 in 3) but you gotta like our chances against that D & given Rocky's history against them. Those play in our favor not against us. Agree 100% on Hawaii! That's going to be tough. Not concerned about NM at home (unless we have division wrapped up & not playing for home field in CG). If I had to bet I'd bet on 9-3, but 10-2 & 8-4 wouldn't surprise me. All are definitely possible. 8-4 is possible, but I just don't see it. 9-3 is what I will stick to. |
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Post by aztecfan1 on Jun 23, 2017 15:13:24 GMT -8
Huh? What happened to your lock on 10-2 or better?
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Post by tonatiuh on Jun 23, 2017 19:15:27 GMT -8
The new OL must scare some folks more than others. They think the cupboard is bare and we're back to rebuilding mode. Oldie Out Actually, it is the same story as it has been the past two years. Many new players to take over for those who left. With our OL coach, Mike Schmidt, I am really not too concerned since he is doing a fantastic job! We are the first and only school to have a thousand yd.& two thousand yd. rushers in the same season. That is nothing to sneeze at since no other Division 1 has done that yet!  |
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Post by fanhood on Jun 23, 2017 19:41:08 GMT -8
Huh? What happened to your lock on 10-2 or better? I have been saying 9-3 all along. How about this: 3% chance of 8-4 40% chance of 9-3 50% chance of 10-2 5% chance of 11-1 2% chance of 12-0 I can't wait for that phone call at half time of the AFA game when we'll be winning, but not by enough, and you will say how horrible we are. I read you like a book! |
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Post by sdcoug on Jun 26, 2017 10:03:52 GMT -8
Huh? What happened to your lock on 10-2 or better? I have been saying 9-3 all along. How about this: 3% chance of 8-4 40% chance of 9-3 50% chance of 10-2 5% chance of 11-1 2% chance of 12-0 I can't wait for that phone call at half time of the AFA game when we'll be winning, but not by enough, and you will say how horrible we are. I read you like a book! Interesting %'s, but no way is 12-0 as high as 2%. And since you say 9-3 is your prediction should it have the largest odds in your book? Here's my take: 5% of 7-5 25% of 8-4 45% of 9-3 22% of 10-2 2.8% of 11-1 .2% of 12-0 Like you, my bet is on 9-3, but think we have about an equal chance of 8-4 as 10-2. Outside of that I think there's a greater chance in football of having injuries/tough loss than having everything break your way, which is what would need to happen for 11-1/12-0. Hence 5% vs. 3%. |
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Post by aztecfan1 on Jun 26, 2017 10:45:10 GMT -8
So many intangibles with this year's relatively young team. August will tell us more about team chemistry , emergence or lack there of from RsF class, true FR wowing the world and starting, or OL coming together early as a surprise.
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Post by csfoster on Jun 26, 2017 12:43:33 GMT -8
11-1 would be outstanding! Just Do It Aztecs!!!
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Post by fanhood on Jun 26, 2017 14:03:02 GMT -8
I have been saying 9-3 all along. How about this: 3% chance of 8-4 40% chance of 9-3 50% chance of 10-2 5% chance of 11-1 2% chance of 12-0 I can't wait for that phone call at half time of the AFA game when we'll be winning, but not by enough, and you will say how horrible we are. I read you like a book! Interesting %'s, but no way is 12-0 as high as 2%. And since you say 9-3 is your prediction should it have the largest odds in your book? Here's my take: 5% of 7-5 25% of 8-4 45% of 9-3 22% of 10-2 2.8% of 11-1 .2% of 12-0 Like you, my bet is on 9-3, but think we have about an equal chance of 8-4 as 10-2. Outside of that I think there's a greater chance in football of having injuries/tough loss than having everything break your way, which is what would need to happen for 11-1/12-0. Hence 5% vs. 3%. True, my mistake. Flip those numbers. If anyone is interested, the guys at MWC Connection just did their preview of SDSU. One guy picked us to go 12-0 (the uninformed annoying idiot guy), while the other picked us to go 10-2 (he is more knowledgable). |
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