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Post by aardvark on Jun 10, 2019 12:22:38 GMT -8
Machado, Myers and Kinsler need to start hitting if this team is going anywhere. Yes they can make a run at a wild card spot, bring in a veteran SP (like Houston did with Verlander a few years back) and make a charge for playoff relevance. Manny Machado didn’t sign here to play sub .500 baseball and the wait til next year chorus has been a constant refrain since 2010. The team has some extra players along with minor league studs for trade fodder, use that to bring in a veteran SP who can go 7-8 innings. Green is well on the way to burning out his bullpen by July 4th ....again. Just a bit different with Houston, as when they traded for Verlander, they were already 80-53, and leading their division by 11 1/2 games.
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Post by aardvark on Jun 10, 2019 14:30:58 GMT -8
Well, here's a trade for you. Alex Dickerson to the Giants--for a pitcher!! Unfortunately, that pitcher is Franklin Van Gurp, a 23-year old pitcher who hasn't really done anything above low-A ball.
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 10, 2019 22:33:13 GMT -8
Machado, Myers and Kinsler need to start hitting if this team is going anywhere. Yes they can make a run at a wild card spot, bring in a veteran SP (like Houston did with Verlander a few years back) and make a charge for playoff relevance. Manny Machado didn’t sign here to play sub .500 baseball and the wait til next year chorus has been a constant refrain since 2010. The team has some extra players along with minor league studs for trade fodder, use that to bring in a veteran SP who can go 7-8 innings. Green is well on the way to burning out his bullpen by July 4th ....again. Burn out the bullpen? The Padres have one reliever on the roster who is in the top 50 in bullpen innings.
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 10, 2019 22:37:51 GMT -8
They are currently 3.5 games out of a wild-card spot. I don't see how anyone could possibly say at this point that the Padres definitively will not make the playoffs. 1) The pitching isn't going to last. Paddack and Strahm are going to hit innings walls at some point and there isn't enough quality depth to offset that. 2) The offense is still one of the worst in baseball situationally and in regards to strikeouts/on base percentage. 3) The schedule gets considerably tougher late. Still have to play LA 13 more times alone. 4) There are still serious holes in the roster. You're getting nothing from Myers, Kinsler and the catching position. The offense is not strong enough to offset that. 5) Look at the other wild card contenders. Atlanta. Milwaukee. Philadelphia. Chicago. St. Louis, et al. The Padres aren't on that level yet with regards to consistency and solid overall play. They can hang around .500 in all likelihood which is a giant step forward in progress, but the roster is much more suited for a run at 2020. Kinsler has an .830 OPS since May 1. So we are not still getting nothing from him.
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Post by aardvark on Jun 10, 2019 23:32:16 GMT -8
1) The pitching isn't going to last. Paddack and Strahm are going to hit innings walls at some point and there isn't enough quality depth to offset that. 2) The offense is still one of the worst in baseball situationally and in regards to strikeouts/on base percentage. 3) The schedule gets considerably tougher late. Still have to play LA 13 more times alone. 4) There are still serious holes in the roster. You're getting nothing from Myers, Kinsler and the catching position. The offense is not strong enough to offset that. 5) Look at the other wild card contenders. Atlanta. Milwaukee. Philadelphia. Chicago. St. Louis, et al. The Padres aren't on that level yet with regards to consistency and solid overall play. They can hang around .500 in all likelihood which is a giant step forward in progress, but the roster is much more suited for a run at 2020. Kinsler has an .830 OPS since May 1. So we are not still getting nothing from him. And since May 1st, we are 16-20.
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 11, 2019 6:17:10 GMT -8
Kinsler has an .830 OPS since May 1. So we are not still getting nothing from him. And since May 1st, we are 16-20. As I predicted after April, we will score more in May but our pitching will allow more runs. A little hot streak is coming.
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Post by aardvark on Jun 11, 2019 8:02:27 GMT -8
And since May 1st, we are 16-20. As I predicted after April, we will score more in May but our pitching will allow more runs. A little hot streak is coming. Yes. Next season.
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Post by aztecryan on Jun 11, 2019 8:06:54 GMT -8
Bill, this team is 12 games out of the division and has a -31 run differential. Our true Pythagorean record is 6 games under .500. So, while there may be a streak coming, it isn't something that is going to be sustainable given the reality of the metrics in front of them. Think about 2020 (where ownership has publicly stated they see the window really being for years) with a year of develop for Tatis, Paddack, Strahm, Mejia, etc. Plus, the rise of MacKenzie Gore and other near-term pitching prospects. The roster is much more complete at that point.
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Post by aztecmusician on Jun 11, 2019 9:53:34 GMT -8
Another reason to make a run for the WC this season is that all of the primary players are healthy. (Knock on wood). That is something which can’t be take for granted, there have been recent seasons where half the rotation and 4 or 5 key players are down by June.
This has been a relatively healthy season for the Pads, try to take advantage of it.
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Post by aardvark on Jun 12, 2019 20:43:53 GMT -8
And since May 1st, we are 16-20. As I predicted after April, we will score more in May but our pitching will allow more runs. A little hot streak is coming. Streak? Yes. Hot streak? Not so much.
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 20, 2019 18:49:26 GMT -8
As I predicted after April, we will score more in May but our pitching will allow more runs. A little hot streak is coming. Streak? Yes. Hot streak? Not so much. Four in a row and five out of six
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Post by aztecryan on Jun 20, 2019 19:33:53 GMT -8
This team is so inconsistent that they have the talent to win 5 in a row and the lack of middle relief to lose 5 in a row.
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Post by aardvark on Jun 20, 2019 20:48:14 GMT -8
Streak? Yes. Hot streak? Not so much. Four in a row and five out of six Yes. After a 5 game losing streak. They are 5-6 their last 11 games.
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Post by AztecBill on Jun 21, 2019 12:56:28 GMT -8
This team is so inconsistent that they have the talent to win 5 in a row and the lack of middle relief to lose 5 in a row. When you're not playing well inconsistent is a good thing
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Post by aardvark on Jun 21, 2019 13:45:53 GMT -8
This team is so inconsistent that they have the talent to win 5 in a row and the lack of middle relief to lose 5 in a row. When you're not playing well inconsistent is a good thing
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Post by docmm on Jun 22, 2019 15:22:32 GMT -8
Stammen just had his 3rd horrible outing since June 5th and he was the reason we lost all three. He's 35 years-old, would be nice to trade him while he still has value.
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Post by aardvark on Jun 22, 2019 15:53:27 GMT -8
Stammen just had his 3rd horrible outing since June 5th and he was the reason we lost all three. He's 35 years-old, would be nice to trade him while he still has value. Based on his results this month, he doesn't have much trade value. Maybe the Padres put him on the DL to just give him some time off, have him come back in July, hope he has a good month of July, and maybe someone takes him off our hands at the trade deadline.
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Post by AztecBill on Jul 7, 2019 15:31:38 GMT -8
Stammen just had his 3rd horrible outing since June 5th and he was the reason we lost all three. He's 35 years-old, would be nice to trade him while he still has value. After three successful outings in Los Angeles hopefully stammen is over his bad stretch
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Post by AztecBill on Jul 7, 2019 19:35:48 GMT -8
When you're not playing well inconsistent is a good thing You would rather have them consistently bad?
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Post by aardvark on Jul 7, 2019 20:36:41 GMT -8
You would rather have them consistently bad? No, I would rather have them on the gradual upswing, which they seem to be trending towards (and yes, I understand that while that takes place, the team can get streaky, in both good and bad ways). But I fully expect this team to not win many games in September, as the young pitching arms are going to get shut down, and I hope Padres fans realize that. I do like the way the team is progressing, and if they can somehow win 80 games, that would be a 14 game improvement over 2018. That's a good start, as long as the improvement continues next season.
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