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Post by aztecmusician on Feb 26, 2019 23:42:19 GMT -8
Make your projections, who leads the 2019 Padres in:
Batting Avg.
HR’s
RBI’s
Wins
Strike Outs
Hosmer. .279
Reyes. 32
Machado. 92
Paddack. 10
Lucchesi 136
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Post by aztecryan on Feb 27, 2019 9:14:11 GMT -8
Paddack winning double digit games while on an innings restriction would be great. He was as advertised yesterday.
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Post by Deleted on Feb 27, 2019 13:12:36 GMT -8
Batting Avg.
HR’s
RBI’s
Wins
Strike Outs
I'll go with:
Urias .281
Machado 26
Myers 88 (he drove in 94 here two years ago with a worse lineup) If he can stay healthy.
Lauer 11
Lucchesi 160 (struck out 145 last year in 26 starts)
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Post by aztecryan on Feb 27, 2019 19:27:40 GMT -8
Machado's over/under is 33, FWIW. I would be shocked if he doesn't approach 30+. Batting Avg. HR’s RBI’s Wins Strike Outs I'll go with: Urias .281 Machado 26 Myers 88 (he drove in 94 here two years ago with a worse lineup) If he can stay healthy. Lauer 11 Lucchesi 160 (struck out 145 last year in 26 starts) |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 28, 2019 5:29:51 GMT -8
Machado's over/under is 33, FWIW. I would be shocked if he doesn't approach 30+. Batting Avg. HR’s RBI’s Wins Strike Outs I'll go with: Urias .281 Machado 26 Myers 88 (he drove in 94 here two years ago with a worse lineup) If he can stay healthy. Lauer 11 Lucchesi 160 (struck out 145 last year in 26 starts) I could totally see the over. Machado averages about 35 jacks a year, but then - he is no longer playing 81 games a year at very home run friendly Camden Yards either. www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/story/_/page/mlbdk2k16_parkfactors/which-parks-most-least-favorable-fantasy-baseball-hitters-pitchers-mlb7. Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home to Baltimore Orioles Runs: 1.072, HR: 1.208, HR (RHB): 1.125, HR (LHB): 1.339 Dimensions: 333' (7')-364' (7')-410' (7')-373' (7')-318' (25') Altitude: 36 feet; Open-air stadium; Grass field Camden Yards' power alleys are among the most advantageous in baseball, but it's best for left-handed power, despite the 25-feet fence in right field. The short outfield fences elsewhere -- seven feet everywhere else -- have much to do with it. 29. Petco Park, home to San Diego Padres Runs: 0.864, HR: 0.952, HR (RHB): 0.859, HR (LHB): 1.093* Dimensions: 336' (8')-390' (8')-396' (8')-391' (8')-322' (8') Altitude: 15 feet; Open-air stadium; Grass field Park factors are for 2013-15 seasons only, under current measurements Once the most pitching-friendly ballpark in baseball, Petco's fence adjustments following the 2012 season helped bring it closer to the pack. That was especially true for left-handed hitters, who scarcely stood a chance in the venue's early days; this is actually now a neutral to slightly hitter-friendly ballpark in terms of home runs, and it's almost league average in terms of hits (0.964 factor) and extra-base hits (0.956). But the main reason that Petco is still regarded an extreme pitchers' park is its strikeout potential; its 1.058 factor is sixth-highest in the game. |
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Post by aztecryan on Feb 28, 2019 6:26:33 GMT -8
Machado's over/under is 33, FWIW. I would be shocked if he doesn't approach 30+. I could totally see the over. Machado averages about 35 jacks a year, but then - he is no longer playing 81 games a year at very home run friendly Camden Yards either. www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/story/_/page/mlbdk2k16_parkfactors/which-parks-most-least-favorable-fantasy-baseball-hitters-pitchers-mlb7. Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home to Baltimore Orioles Runs: 1.072, HR: 1.208, HR (RHB): 1.125, HR (LHB): 1.339 Dimensions: 333' (7')-364' (7')-410' (7')-373' (7')-318' (25') Altitude: 36 feet; Open-air stadium; Grass field Camden Yards' power alleys are among the most advantageous in baseball, but it's best for left-handed power, despite the 25-feet fence in right field. The short outfield fences elsewhere -- seven feet everywhere else -- have much to do with it. 29. Petco Park, home to San Diego Padres Runs: 0.864, HR: 0.952, HR (RHB): 0.859, HR (LHB): 1.093* Dimensions: 336' (8')-390' (8')-396' (8')-391' (8')-322' (8') Altitude: 15 feet; Open-air stadium; Grass field Park factors are for 2013-15 seasons only, under current measurements Once the most pitching-friendly ballpark in baseball, Petco's fence adjustments following the 2012 season helped bring it closer to the pack. That was especially true for left-handed hitters, who scarcely stood a chance in the venue's early days; this is actually now a neutral to slightly hitter-friendly ballpark in terms of home runs, and it's almost league average in terms of hits (0.964 factor) and extra-base hits (0.956). But the main reason that Petco is still regarded an extreme pitchers' park is its strikeout potential; its 1.058 factor is sixth-highest in the game. Check out the more recent park factors. Petco is MUCH more neutral and even shades towards hitters. Also, there is an overlay of Machado's batted ball data scaled to Petco floating around out there. He should hit 30 with ease, provided good health. |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 28, 2019 9:02:46 GMT -8
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Post by aztecryan on Feb 28, 2019 10:50:35 GMT -8
29th to 16th is a big jump. By the way, here is the overlay I was mentioning earlier, Machado's 2018 to Petco's exact dimensions.
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Post by AztecBill on Mar 1, 2019 8:51:04 GMT -8
29th to 16th is a big jump. By the way, here is the overlay I was mentioning earlier, Machado's 2018 to Petco's exact dimensions. It should be noted that Petco Park was not a huge pitcher's park because of dimensions. The balls just do not carry as well in Petco Park. It is mainly affected by temperature. Games in Petco Park tend to be a lot colder during the summer. Hot humid days cause the balls to fly out of parks. |
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Post by Deleted on Mar 2, 2019 8:06:23 GMT -8
29th to 16th is a big jump. By the way, here is the overlay I was mentioning earlier, Machado's 2018 to Petco's exact dimensions. It should be noted that Petco Park was not a huge pitcher's park because of dimensions. The balls just do not carry as well in Petco Park. It is mainly affected by temperature. Games in Petco Park tend to be a lot colder during the summer. Hot humid days cause the balls to fly out of parks. Maybe a little of both? |
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Post by aardvark on Mar 4, 2019 13:26:54 GMT -8
Make your projections, who leads the 2019 Padres in: Batting Avg. HR’s RBI’s Wins Strike Outs Hosmer. .279 Reyes. 32 Machado. 92 Paddack. 10 Lucchesi 136 Reyes will not be in the lineup enough to hit that many home runs. He is an abysmal outfielder. But...if the NL goes to a DH by 2020, the Padres have their DH. |
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Post by aztecryan on Mar 4, 2019 17:16:56 GMT -8
With Jankowski going down, everyone's playing time in the outfield just went up.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 5, 2019 9:38:33 GMT -8
Ryan,
What is the starting 5 expected to be early on in April? Is Paddack expected to be in the rotation from day one, until hitting his innings restriction?
Is it looking like Lucchesi, Lauer, Strahm, Erlin, and Paddack?
I saw Nix mentioned in one article, but not sure he is ready for primetime.
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Nix ranked 15th on the pre-season San Diego Padres Top 20 prospects for 2018 list with this comment:
15) Jacob Nix, RHP, Grade B-: Age 22, third round pick in 2015 from IMG Academy; posted 4.67 ERA in 94 innings between High-A and Double-A, 73/19 K/BB, 110 hits; an odd duck at this point, fastball can get up to 96, flashes a plus curveball and decent change-up and throws strikes; his control (avoiding walks) is better than his command (hitting your locations within the strike zone) and he sometimes seems to lack deception; game logs show mixture of dominant outings with terrible ones and not much in between; still a possible workhorse starter although he might be more dominant on a per-inning basis if used in bullpen. ETA 2019.
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