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Post by bigzz916 on Nov 26, 2014 7:52:52 GMT -8
Throughout the season I will look at our true ranking by looking at Vegas odds for SDSU to win the NCAA championship. To start the season we were at 50/1 and were anywhere between 18-20. As of today, I was surprised to see us at 65/1 (10$ bet pays $1300). This puts us at a 23rd ranking using odds. A couple things came to mind but was curious to get some other perspectives:
1) The potential redshirt and injury of Zylan, injury of Shirgley and slow pace of bringing Pope into the mix (although all similar at beginning of season when we started 50/1)
2) Conference value- The MWC sucks this far, this could be detrimental to our seed come tourney time if the value stays the same and we lose a couple in conference
3) Kentucky impact
Thoughts ??
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Post by mens fashion on Nov 26, 2014 8:15:11 GMT -8
your math is bad
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Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 26, 2014 8:23:51 GMT -8
Which casino pays 65 to 1 at 130 to 1? I want to go play there.
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Post by KDub on Nov 26, 2014 8:26:12 GMT -8
Kentucky
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Post by aztecsiggy on Nov 26, 2014 8:42:22 GMT -8
Shooting below 30% range will do that.
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Post by bigzz916 on Nov 26, 2014 9:39:35 GMT -8
Dumb math! I guess I had to look back to my bet, I bet $20...
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Post by AlwaysAnAztec on Nov 26, 2014 10:06:13 GMT -8
LV odds go up and down in relation to the amount of money bet.
Going from 50-1 to 65-1 is their way of enticing more people to bet on SDSU.
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Post by AztecBill on Nov 26, 2014 10:14:11 GMT -8
LV odds go up and down in relation to the amount of money bet. Going from 50-1 to 65-1 is their way of enticing more people to bet on SDSU. That is a given and doesn't answer the question. It could be that other top teams got more confidence (by bettors) and too much money was bet on them. Fans of other marginal teams may have had some questions about their team but playing a couple of exhibition games and a couple of cupcakes at home drew money from delusional fans. |
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Post by uncledougy on Nov 26, 2014 10:22:25 GMT -8
LV odds go up and down in relation to the amount of money bet. Going from 50-1 to 65-1 is their way of enticing more people to bet on SDSU. Doesn't really apply to future bets. They like to even out the money on games with 2 sides. The futures have 1 side. It's more about not getting burned and vegas is pretty dialed into the futures. The lines are a really bad bet unless you wanna have some fun. They will bump the line when they believe that team has no chance, it's just money in the bank. But futures are just a draw to get people in the door, they really couldn't give two hoots about them (unless some guy drops 10 dimes at 65-1, then they will investigate). Futures are generally viewed as the "sucker" bet. |
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Post by aztecfanatic on Nov 26, 2014 17:49:42 GMT -8
Uncledoughy is right. Serious gamblers stay a million miles away from future bets
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