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Post by waingro on Jan 25, 2013 14:23:44 GMT -8
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Post by AztecBill on Jan 25, 2013 14:32:04 GMT -8
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Post by waingro on Jan 25, 2013 14:45:14 GMT -8
Nicely done. Of the other conference games, BSU -1 @ Nevada is very attractive, especially if Story isn't 100%. CSU -7.5 @ Fresno St. is a bit heavy. CSU should win, but Fresno St. has been tough ATS as a home dog in conference. Wyoming -7.5 vs. Air Force. Lean towards Wyoming at home, but again that's a big number for a Wyoming team not at full strength. |
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Post by rick7g on Jan 25, 2013 14:58:23 GMT -8
Nicely done. Of the other conference games, BSU -1 @ Nevada is very attractive, especially if Story isn't 100%. CSU -7.5 @ Fresno St. is a bit heavy. CSU should win, but Fresno St. has been tough ATS as a home dog in conference. Wyoming -7.5 vs. Air Force. Lean towards Wyoming at home, but again that's a big number for a Wyoming team not at full strength. If I could place a bet it would be BSU and Air Force. |
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Post by haleiwaaztec on Jan 25, 2013 15:20:04 GMT -8
Air Force is likely a good bet as I don't expect a high scoring game (despite the fact the AF scored over 90 last two games).
KenPom has these 4 games like this
SDSU by 3
Boise by 7
Wyoming by 10
CSU by 8
looks like Boise is good value and Wyoming numbers are skewed a bit as Martinez isn't playing anymore.
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Post by waingro on Jan 25, 2013 15:51:59 GMT -8
looks like Boise is good value. Have a feeling once that game is on the board and available for betting Saturday morning it will be BSU -2.5 or -3. Those early lines are always a tease... |
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Post by smoketree on Jan 25, 2013 16:32:09 GMT -8
I had guesses originally Aztecs -1, so I am somewhat surprised at the spread....Bet it will shrink tomorrow though. Congrats to those who nailed it.
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Post by smoketree on Jan 25, 2013 16:34:02 GMT -8
Someone refresh my memory...What was the line for our Vegas game??? We were favored by a few???
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Post by unlvpride on Jan 25, 2013 16:37:39 GMT -8
Someone refresh my memory...What was the line for our Vegas game??? We were favored by a few??? If i remember right you guys were favored by 1.5 or 2 |
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Post by aztech on Jan 25, 2013 17:06:06 GMT -8
The bettors probably know that X will be playing a lot of minutes.
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Post by saucematix on Jan 25, 2013 18:40:31 GMT -8
we cover this game. big home crowd, plus new mexico isnt as good as record shows
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Post by standiego on Jan 25, 2013 19:09:14 GMT -8
Fisher on the radio, X is still game time decision ,if he can play, if he does play not sure how many minutes
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Post by zurac315 on Jan 25, 2013 20:47:56 GMT -8
Why are we favored? Opinions?
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Post by rick7g on Jan 25, 2013 21:34:25 GMT -8
Why are we favored? Opinions? Teams are pretty even and you are home in a must win game. 2 home losses and you will not win conference. |
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Post by sugarrise on Jan 25, 2013 21:46:46 GMT -8
Why are we favored? Opinions? The Vegas bookies aren't stupid, the Lobos bubble is about to burst! |
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Post by haleiwaaztec on Jan 26, 2013 7:53:54 GMT -8
NM is a very good team, but 3 of their 4 MWC wins were at home and the other was in OT at Boise St. Sure NM can win today, but the odds are against them since SDSU is also very good. This is a must win game for SDSU if they want to win the MWC but that is not the case for NM. The line seems fair but if I had to bet, I'd take NM and the points. I think SDSU wins the game but not by much.
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Post by sugarrise on Jan 26, 2013 8:03:16 GMT -8
Line is up to 4.5
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Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2013 8:10:51 GMT -8
yeah, i was hoping it would go the other way... hmmm, give more points or pass on the bet??? |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 26, 2013 8:26:15 GMT -8
Lobos +4.5.? Hmmm
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Post by sugarrise on Jan 26, 2013 15:11:26 GMT -8
yeah, i was hoping it would go the other way... hmmm, give more points or pass on the bet??? Sorry man, didn't come on here again till now. I got it at 4. Like I said earlier, Lobos were due a loss and this game was a real focus point for the Aztecs. Easier than I thought! |
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